American Economic Association Holds Presentations on Crypto, Blockchain
The American Economic Association (AEA) will host of and research today, Jan. 4, as part of its ongoing annual meeting.
The session, dubbed ‘Blockchain and Tokenomics,’ will cover four academic papers from various sources.
It will be hosted by the academic group the Econometrics Society and chaired by Lin William Cong, assistant professor of finance at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business.
The AEA is a major entity within the sphere of United States economics and beyond, and publishes the well-known journal the American Economic Review.
The appearance of an event dedicated to the cryptocurrency sphere as well as blockchain is notable for the organization, a sign of the technology’s ever increasing .
The four papers for the Jan. 4 session are titled ‘Decentralized Mining in Centralized Pools,’ ‘Cryptocurrencies: Stylized Facts on a New Investible Instrument,’ ‘A Theory of ICOs: Diversification, Agency, and Information Asymmetry’ and ‘Tokenomics: Dynamic Compensation for Decentralized Contribution.’
Covering a range of phenomena peculiar to crypto, the second paper, for example, examines how can net returns for investors and to what extent these are correlated with ’s (BTC) performance.
, the topic of Cong’s own paper, is also a pertinent subject under current conditions, as the bitcoin [BTC] price declines late last year spelled a period of in the sector.
bitcoin at $500,000 by 2030 is the latest sky-high prediction to come from high-flying personalities, this time Snapchat’s first investor.
Smith, Liew: Developing Markets Will Drive bitcoin’s Moontrip
In a joint presentation with Blockchain CEO Peter Smith, Jeremy Liew, whose stake in Snapchat is now worth $2 billion, said that external factors driving interest in bitcoin would propel it to unseen heights in the coming decade.
Remittance increases, mobile penetration and political uncertainty top the list.
Business Insider Liew and Smith as saying:
We believe bitcoin awareness, high liquidity, ease of transport and continued market outperformance as geopolitical risks mount, will make bitcoin a strong contender for investment at a consumer and investor level.
Developing countries represent a significant market for bitcoin, with countries such as Kenya already conducting financial activities via mobile, having skipped banking in what was previously a highly cash-driven economy.
With such mobile monopolies come easier remittances. In Kenya, dedicated startup BitPesa is both markets with bitcoin.
Enough users, according to Smith and Liew, and the virtual currency’s value will take care of itself.
“Put another way, we need a population of bitcoin users around a quarter of the Chinese population (or 5% of the global population) in 2030 to see bitcoin at $500k,” they said.
Current hurdles facing bitcoin propagation, specifically network capacity and the wary approach taken to related financial instruments by regulators, do not faze Smith in particular.
“The SEC’s ruling wasn’t a surprise to us,” he said about the Winklevoss twins’ .
“We know that getting this sort of approval is going to take (a potentially long) time. In the meantime, bitcoin is already simple to buy and hold and, as the asset continues to mature, we’ll continue to see an increase in the development and deployment of surrounding products.”
Nonetheless, in keeping with the current sentiment, both agree on a 2017 bitcoin price of $1000 – slightly less than today’s spot rate.
Other recent price estimates to come from well-known sources include several from Vinny Lingham, who in December $3000 this year.
His optimism came with a hint of caution, however, the entrepreneur adding that too rapid a price increase would be detrimental to the industry and reintroduce volatility and associated lack of trust.
Smith concluded:
…bitcoin is incredibly resilient and stable…In fact, the bitcoin Blockchain has operated for 7+ years with no downtime, a feat no other back-end system operating at this scale can claim.
What do you think about Jeremy Liew and Peter Smith’s forecast? Let us know in the comments below!
Images courtesy of Coinbase, Blockchain, Shutterstock
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