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May-2019 Will be Significant for Bitcoin, Record BTC Volumes Traded on May-12

May-2019 will be significant for bitcoin, record btc volumes traded on may-12

May-2019 Will be Significant for Bitcoin, Record BTC Volumes Traded on May-12

May-2019 will be significant for bitcoin, record btc volumes traded on may-12

Before
April, Bitcoin had been disappointing. Even its most active proponents were
cautious due to the rate at which it scaled up the price ladder. However, after
the primers of April, Bitcoin prices have been on a roll, more than doubling
from mid-March. All the same, a stand out in this march is the developments of
May-12.  

On this day, Bitcoin prices surged to $7,503 before cooling off, closing at $7,000. But it was more about prices edging past $6,000 “mother of all” resistance while nullifying bears of Q4 2018 and more specifically, Nov 2018 Bitcoin hash-rate war instigated erosion. It was more to do with trading volumes.

The Significance
of May 12

On May-12 BTC related volumes raced to $29 billion. This was monumental since such a high 24-hour trading volume was in January 2018 and the first in the history of Bitcoin

This
new high surpasses previous record set on Jan 25, 2018 by $4.5 billion.
Notably, in early 2018, BTC was trading at around $10,000 while on May 12 it
was hovering around $7,500.

“$29 billion in BTC volume was traded today. The previous high of $25.5 billion was set on Jan 8, 2018. Technically, more BTC could have been moved as prices have historically been lower. But today was a record volume.”

What About Fake Volume?

Even
so, the unregulated nature of the space means some elements could try to
manipulate trade volumes, something, Jonathan Habicht, founder, Blockfyre, a
crypto, and blockchain business notes.

All in all, the month of May is poised to be a significant month for Bitcoin. For instance, it is in May that the price of Bitcoin went above $7,000 and, if the momentum continues, BTC may be exchanging hands at above $10,000 at the end of the month. Also, it’s also in this fifth month of 2019 that the 24-hour trading volume for the lead crypto surpassed $20 billion.

The vigorous trading activities around Bitcoin on May 12 were not only manifested by aggregated data from CoinMarketCap but also by individual exchanges. For example, on the same day, Arthur Hayes, CEO, BitMEX, tweeted:

“$10.03B in 24 hours. New record for BitMEX trading volume. Praise be to volatility and our wonderful traders!”

Prophesies Were
There Before the Rise

This
was a significant rise considering that BitMEX, a crypto platform specializing
in margin trading, is usually quiet on weekends like Sunday, May 12. Industry
experts prophesied the surge in price for Bitcoin and possibly the high trading
volumes.

On
May 10, two days before the meteoric rise in trading volume, Vinny Lingham, partner, Multicoin Capital, said:

“If Bitcoin can hold the $6,200 level for the next 24-48 hours, then the bear market is officially over, and I’m going to become a raging bull!” BTC closed the day at $6,378 and has never looked back.”

On
BitMEX, however, it seems margin traders were caught off-guard by the rising
Bitcoin prices as $76 million of longs got wrecked.

A
Redditor
noted:

“The market swings will continue that we know. I could never bring myself to pull shorts and longs. Just buy and cost average your losses over a set time and wait. You might win you might lose who knows.”

Perhaps,
traders and the general investor community will look back; mark out May-12,
noting that it was the day Bitcoin recovered after a 12-month bear grip of
2018. Bulls are back and Alex Krüger, a global markets analyst, is optimistic that
prices will edge higher in days ahead.

Published at Tue, 14 May 2019 20:10:13 +0000

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Ether Price Analysis: Double Bottom Fake-out Leaves Bulls Trapped

Ether Price Analysis

After what seemed like a reversal from the strong bear market for the entire crypto-market, many bullish investors found themselves initially taking profit from what appeared to be another Double Bottom Reversal. However, when it came time to re-test the neckline, the ETH-USD market decided to continue its move down. So why did the Double Bottom Reversal, outlined in a previous BTC-USD analysis, not yield the results during yesterday’s rally?

ETHUSD_Fake_DB_jpeg.jpgFigure 1:  ETH-USD, 1-hr Candles, GDAX, Fake Double Bottom

In the article referenced above, several criteria outline the price projections one can expect from a Double Bottom Reversal pattern. One of the most crucial aspect of a Double Bottom Reversal is the volume supported on the two lower peaks of the pattern. In the figure shown above, the left example of the Double Bottom pattern is support with obvious spikes in volume where the market attempted to make a new low. However, in our case, we see a pattern that looks like a Double Bottom, but lacks the required volume to really send the reversal pattern in a significant bullish rally.

So, now that we’ve failed to reverse this bear trend once again, where does this leave us in the grand scheme of things?  To put this market into perspective, it is often useful to zoom out and view it on a high timescale:

ETHUSD_macro_bear_jpeg.jpgFigure 2:  ETH-USD, 12-hr Candles, Gemini, Macro Bear Trend

One of the most notable things about this bear trend is the failure to make a new high, time and time again. Each failure to make a new high has been coupled with an increase in overall market volume, which acts an initial indicator that the market still has more bearish pressure on it. Next, if we move on to the MACD (an indicator of market momentum), we can see two things:

  1. The current bearish period is showing no sign of divergence — each relative low made in the market is coupled with a low on the MACD histogram.

  2. Most important, the macro bear trend shows maintained downward momentum by the way the signal line / moving average have made a new low (see the orange, dashed line).

At the time of this article, the market is finding major support and resistance levels along the Fibonacci Retracement values of the macro Bear trend (see pink notation in the image above). The fake Double Bottom Reversal propelled the market back up enough to test the 23 percent retracement value before ultimately pivoting with relative ease. On the macro scale, the next major line of support lies at our previous low: $175. It will be a hard-fought battle as this is a line of historic interest within the lifetime of the market.

As the market proceeds its march toward the bottom, the various lines of the Fibonacci Retracements will play a key role for entering and exiting positions. Most commonly, before progressing to the next Fibonacci Retracement line, the market will make a test of the resisting line above it before continuing the downward trend. The figure below outlines the recurring theme of this macro bear trend’s Fibonacci Retracement tests:

ETHUSD_ABCDE.jpgFigure 3:  ETH-USD, 6-hr Candles, Gemini, Fibonacci Retracement Trend

It’s entirely possible that the market won’t make it back down to to the 0 percent Fibonacci Retracement values, but, given the downward momentum outlined on several market indicators, it seems far more likely than not. With the massive Head and Shoulders (outlined earlier this week) on the BTC-USD markets looming in the background and testing key support levels, one can only speculate just how far the crypto-market will continue its downward move.

Summary:

  1. A fake Double Bottom Reversal formed on the smaller timescales, trapping many people in a bullish position.

  2. On a macro scale, the ETH-USD is maintaining its downward momentum and continues to test Fibonacci Retracement values.

Trading and investing in digital assets like bitcoin and ether is highly speculative and comes with many risks. This analysis is for informational purposes and should not be considered investment advice. Statements and financial information on bitcoin Magazine and BTCMedia related sites do not necessarily reflect the opinion of BTCMedia and should not be construed as an endorsement or recommendation to buy, sell or hold. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

The post Ether Price Analysis: Double Bottom Fake-out Leaves Bulls Trapped appeared first on Bitcoin Magazine.

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