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Bitcoin Will Drop Near $3,500 Before a Major Rally: Trader

Bitcoin will drop near $3,500 before a major rally: trader

Bitcoin Will Drop Near $3,500 Before a Major Rally: Trader

After achieving $4,097 in global average price according to data provided by Coinmarketcap.com, the bitcoin price has retraced to $4,027 and below the $4,000 mark in some major markets.

As bitcoin fell by just over 1 percent against the U.S. dollar, the valuation of the crypto market declined from nearly $142 billion to $139 billion in a matter of hours.


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Bitcoin will drop near $3,500 before a major rally: trader

1-Day Chart of Crypto Market Valuation (Source: Coinmarketcap.com)

Speaking to CCN, a widely recognized cryptocurrency trader known to the community as “The Crypto Dog” said that bitcoin could still hit the $3,500 mark in the short-term and that the conditions of the market haven’t changed in the past several days.

“I think we could still see $35XX,” the trader said, adding, it [bitcoin] hasn’t changed much. It wasn’t a particularly significant move. It bounced at a clear support, but there’s been no positive reaction yet. If this support holds, I expect a sweep of the highs near $4,100-$4,140.”

Why bitcoin to Mid-$3,000 is Expected

Earlier this week, the trader noted that despite the momentum of bitcoin and its recent upside movement, the dominant cryptocurrency could still fall to mid-$3,000.

He said:

Decent chance we just saw that ‘one more leg up.’ I greatly reduced exposure up here above $4,000. Waiting for $3,5XX for long entries. I’d love an opportunity to short $4,1XX, but not sure if we’ll see it.

The cautious optimism towards the price trend of bitcoin by many traders and technical analysts likely comes from the performance of BTC in recent months.

Since late 2018, bitcoin has struggled to sustain momentum following an extended period of stability. In November, for instance, after remaining relatively stable in a tight range from September to November, the bitcoin price plunged from $6,395 to $3,236 within a month.

Bitcoin will drop near $3,500 before a major rally: trader

1-Day Chart of the bitcoin Price (Source: Coinmarketcap.com)

As such, from a technical standpoint, an increasing number of traders have begun to be cautious about the upside movement of the cryptocurrency market, unsure whether bitcoin can sustain its momentum in the weeks to come.

Previously, in an interview with CCN, cryptocurrency technical analyst DonAlt explained that a break out of at least the $4,600 resistance level is necessary to conclude that the bear market is over and that a full trend reversal is in play.

“Volume isn’t what will convince me that the bear market is over, a bullish market structure along with a break of at least $4.6k (Favorably $6k) is. It’s interesting that we’ve had so many altcoin pumps while the general market cap hasn’t really changed. That makes me think there is very little new money coming in,” the analyst said.

Industry Is In an Ideal Position

On Thursday, The Block exclusively reported that Bakkt, a cryptocurrency exchange operated by ICE, the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, is being valued at $740 million after its Series A funding round.

“From a cash-flow perspective, Bakkt will not be earning much based on their proposed contract fees, so they really need a lot of volume. A lot of things will need to line up for investors to receive returns that they would typically expect for a Series A,” one source reportedly said.

Considering that the futures trading platform of Bakkt has not launched yet due to the delay in the approval by the U.S. authorities and is expected to launch in the second quarter of 2019, the $740 million valuation for Bakkt at such an early phase in development demonstrates the confidence of investors in both the company and the industry.

Click here for a real-time bitcoin price chart.

Published at Fri, 22 Mar 2019 07:30:06 +0000

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Adam Back to Jihan Wu: SegWit Not ‘Complicated,’ Fixes Satoshi’s Bug

Hashcash inventor Adam Back has said Segregated Witness (SegWit) “fixes” an original bug in bitcoin from creator Satoshi Nakamoto.


Back: SegWit ‘Fixes Satoshi Bug’

As part of a Twitter exchange Friday, Back rebuffed criticism from bitcoin Unlimited proponent Jihan Wu, demonstrating how SegWit is beneficial to the virtual currency’s core protocol.

Wu, who is a co-founder of mining conglomerate Bitmain, had said that the technology would make the network “more complicated.”

adam-back

“SegWit is not more complicated,” Back wrote.

“It fixes Satoshi’s bug that txid=H(tx,sig) to txid=H(tx) this is not complicated, and it is necessary to fix.”

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What’s more, if implemented, SegWit can can actually help reduce the so-called “technical debt” burden of complicated code albeit having its own tradeoffs, which are assessed here.

The segwit code has been heavily reviewed, which helps resist the introduction of technical debt at both a code and design level…Segwit has multiple independent reimplementations, which helps discover any unnecessary complexity and technical debt at the point that it can still be avoided.

SegWit: Complicated & Straightforward

Wu’s stance echoes a broader opinion from the Chinese community in particular that SegWit creates unnecessary complexity within bitcoin.

In an interview with Bitcoinist this month, for example, Leon Liu, CEO of P2P trading service Bitkan, said that this was a reason why the technology “is not the best solution for bitcoin scaling.”

“Segwit will not be the best solution for bitcoin scaling, it will make the bitcoin network more complicated,” he stated.

At the same time, efforts have been made to allay such fears, Blocktrail CTO Ruben De Vries commenting last year that SegWit “is not very complicated if you already know the ins and outs of the bitcoin protocol.”

segregated-witness

Back meanwhile has praised attempts at educating the wider community on the nature of scaling solutions without resorting to ‘political’ siding.

An explainer on SegWit by Andreas Antonopoulos garnered considerable praise, Back describing it as “the best he’d seen on the topic.”

On its benefits, Antonopoulos wrote in the blog post, which originally came out in August last year:

“Firstly, segregated witness reduces the overall cost of transactions by discounting witness data and increasing the capacity of the bitcoin blockchain.

“Secondly, segregated witness’ discount on witness data corrects a misalignment of incentives that may have inadvertently created more bloat in the UTXO set.”

Litecoin Bounce on SegWit Rumors?

SegWit is traditionally considered ‘complicated’ compared to merely increasing the bitcoin block size, despite the latter requiring a hard fork of the virtual currency.

Currently, the proposal is still behind bitcoin Unlimited though both need at least 95% to activate.

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Outside the bitcoin debate, rumors surfacing that Litecoin is to activate SegWit may have led to a surprise expansion in value of the altcoin by around 30%.

What do you think about the contrasting opinions on SegWit? Will it add complexity to bitcoin? Let us know in the comments below!


Images courtesy of Shutterstock, Twitter

The post Adam Back to Jihan Wu: SegWit Not ‘Complicated,’ Fixes Satoshi’s Bug appeared first on Bitcoinist.com.