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Unpacking “The Convergence Stack” with Outlier Ventures’ CEO Jamie Burke

Unpacking “the convergence stack” with outlier ventures’ ceo jamie burke

Unpacking “The Convergence Stack” with Outlier Ventures’ CEO Jamie Burke

Since 2014, Outlier Ventures (OV) has been honing in on some of the most important technologies of our time. After speaking with nearly 1,000 different startups, the venture capital firm has been examining the ins and outs of what a future-proof investment thesis might look like. The Convergence Stack, as CEO Jamie Burke likes to call it, is ultimately a big bet on bots, blockchains, and tokenized networks.

The Convergence Stack

When blockchain technologies burst onto the scene shortly after the arrival of bitcoin, Burke and his team were quickly onboard.

“At that time,” he told BTCManager, “we were mostly looking at use cases for the technology rather than anything to do with tokenized networks.”

Commodities, real estate, data, and secure supply chain management, but all on a blockchain, was the primary focus three and a half years ago.

After 1,000 interviews with different startups peddling some good, but mostly poor ideas, Burke’s firm began developing a much different idea of what the future of technology would look like. Primarily, which technologies are merging to support one another?

A quick survey of OV’s portfolio points to a continued focus on blockchain technologies, but there is now a serious appreciation for the combination of artificial intelligence and the Internet of Things (IoT). Ocean Protocol, a blockchain-based data exchange protocol, Fetch.AI, an AI platform that automates tokenized “agents,” and IOTA are a few examples of this.

“Crypto is not based on the adoption of currencies, but instead enabling bots to conduct economic activity,” explained Burke. And, rightfully so.

As much as the cryptoverse prides itself on the myriad talented minds that populate Twitter and Telegram accounts, the vast majority of Internet activity is, in general, completed by bots.

The annual bot report from security firm Imperva reported that more than 50 percent of Internet activity was made up of bots in 2016. Though the data may be a bit dated for the technology sector, reports from 2017 indicate only slightly different figures.

Bot activity chart

(Source: Imperva)

This also means that the vision of a Web 3.0 is also one in which people are mixing with robots almost as frequently as they are with other humans. At least this is how Burke and OV are hedging their bets. “The Internet will be less about finance and more about enabling a machine to machine economy,” he said.

Supporting businesses like Fetch.AI, for instance, maintains this theory, too.

The London-based blockchain and AI startup wants to empower the soon to be ten billion IoT devices in the world with autonomy of action. In other words, they want to allow a Tesla to be able to freely interact, perhaps even create a data marketplace with a British citizen’s smart home. Tokenization is also a critical part of that, according to Burke.

By adding, hopefully, perfectly rational participants and securing a mesh of such participants with a blockchain, a network could finally achieve perfect coordination.

This melding of technologies is defined by OV as The Convergence Stack, and is made up of “a set of interlinked and open-source technologies spanning hardware, software, networking and applications that support a more secure, private, accessible and ultimately what we hope to be equitable digital infrastructure.”

Stack image for a new internet

(Source: Outlier Ventures)

Correcting Original Sin

If an even greater philosophical consideration could bind OV’s stack, it would be to right the wrongs of the Internet.

“The existential threat of the Internet is very real,” said Burke. “Surveillance capitalism is real as well as the rise of platform economies and closed wall gardens.” The Facebooks, Googles, and Amazons of the modern era have been taking a serious beating in the press, but the attacks appear to be more than justified.

If one throws Apple and Netflix into the mix, the FANG group indeed seems vampiric. All of these companies have been harvesting users’ data, whether known or unknown and selling it for massive profits. The collection of this data has been so widespread and so categorically monolithic, that these companies, above all else, are morphing into AI companies.

For the uninitiated, all artificial intelligences rely on vast swaths of data to provide the best course of action. A small startup that’s looking to learn more about its potential customer base and market share, for example, will inevitably concede to paying Google or Facebook some fee for access to their global database of information.

Fortunately, some regulators, especially in the EU, are stepping in to end the rampant monopolies.

The reality, however, is that regulations likely won’t be enough to change this. “Ending the reign of many of these companies comes from a top-down approach, like regulation, but also the availability of an alternative technology,” said Burke. The space is far from overtaking Google or otherwise, especially as these companies begin picking apart the most interesting features for themselves.

Still, OV and Burke are convinced that such a toppling is inevitable.

Investment Strategy

Despite the recent pump in the price of bitcoin, OV is relatively indifferent. Albeit a bull market is slightly more interesting as more companies take on marginally more risk, a ten-year horizon keeps Burke patient over the long-term. More to the point, he was one of the first in 2017 to call for a much-needed “crypto winter.”

“The 2017 bubble had very little to do with the utility of the market. It was all speculation,” he said. “And as we saw this winter approaching, we built our investment model on this expectation.”

OV, therefore, operates markedly different than other venture firms, in that the latter are typically structured like hedge funds. A VC traditionally works at the intersection of multiple partners who have ultimately pooled their resources and handed over the reins (within reason) to a dedicated fund for investment. This fund is then responsible for the safeguarding and ultimate increase of these resources.

Conversely, OV is a limited liability partnership (LLP), meaning that the firm can invest their own money as aggressively as they wish. All the responsibility rests in their own hands.

With the above mentioned $30 million, and the LLP moniker, OV will launch a diffusion program to help their “portfolio engage with industry partners, academia, smart cities, developer communities and one another to increase interoperability, usability, and adoption.”

Concluding, regardless of market conditions, the OV team is bullish on the end of tech conglomerates, the rise of economically autonomous robots, and building out a better Internet.

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Published at Tue, 23 Apr 2019 16:00:11 +0000

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Bitcoin Price Finally Recovers to $15,000, Factors For Another Surge in 2018

Subsequent to a major correction that occurred on December 17, the bitcoin price has struggled to recover to $15,000, remaining stable in the $13,000 region.

Analysts Optimistic

From December 22 to January 2, with the exception of December 27, the price of bitcoin has remained below $14,000 for nearly two weeks, sparking concerns from long-time investors and analysts.

Some cryptocurrency researchers and investors have predicted the price of bitcoin to fall below $10,000, prior to regaining momentum and surging towards $20,000 and establishing a new all-time high. While many investors have predicted the price of bitcoin to surpass $40,000 in 2018 by achieving a trillion dollar market valuation, analysts have claimed that the price of bitcoin would likely suffer a big correction before initiating a rally.

“bitcoin could be at $40,000 at the end of 2018. It easily could. There’s a big wave of money coming, not just here but all around the world. What’s different about these coins than other commodities … there is no supply response here. So it’s a speculator’s dream in that as buying happens there’s no new supply response that comes up,” said Novogratz.

In late December however, Novogratz stated that he has halted his cryptocurrency hedge fund because of the market conditions. He stated that the price of bitcoin could drop to $8,000 in the short-term as a result of a major correction.

“We didn’t like market conditions and we wanted to re-evaluate what we’re doing. I look pretty smart pressing the pause button right now,” Novogratz added.

Fast forward two weeks, a major correction has not occurred and the momentum of bitcoin has started to build up with a staggering 15 percent increase in value within the past 24 hours.

Given the recent rally of bitcoin, analysts have started to express optimism towards the mid to long-term price trend of bitcoin throughout 2018. The integration of bitcoin by some of the largest financial institutions in the global market including the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and Chicago Board Options Exchange (Cboe) have also triggered the demand for bitcoin from investors in the traditional market.

Most recently, billionaire entrepreneur and investor Peter Thiel invested a massive amount of money in bitcoin, demonstrating his confidence over the entire market entering 2018.

Potential Factors For Surge

Analysts are particularly optimistic in regard to the filing for six bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) by NYSE and Cboe, as the introduction of ETFs will further increase the liquidity of bitcoin especially for accredited investors in the traditional finance sector.

Despite its recent price slump, investment in bitcoin by key players within the finance sector such as Peter Thiel demonstrate that the cryptocurrency has the potential to increase by large margins throughout 2018, especially if it can improve in terms of scalability and market infrastructure.

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