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BTC at 5k Has Everyone Happy, but Tone Vays Thinks 1.3k is a Realistic Target

Btc at 5k has everyone happy, but tone vays thinks 1. 3k is a realistic target

BTC at 5k Has Everyone Happy, but Tone Vays Thinks 1.3k is a Realistic Target

Btc at 5k has everyone happy, but tone vays thinks 1. 3k is a realistic target

The sudden rise of bitcoin (BTC) prices and the stimulus it produced to the crypto ecosystem has caused los of traders and analysts to be quite enthusiastic. Many claim that bitcoin has bottomed out, and that it is very likely that the next significant trend will be towards higher prices.

However, amid this collective euphoria, Tone Vays, a well-known bitcoin trader and influencer is quite unenthusiastic, suggesting that this rise is only a momentary phenomenon.Mr. Vays said in an interview for YouTube channel Ivan on Tech:

Right now that we have reached 5k, I’m trying to find the right opportunity to try to short the market once again because I do think we are going lower. I am still a bear in this market, and I still think that sub 3 thousand dollar prices are more likely than above ten thousand dollars at this point in time

Tone Vays has been a controversial person in the world of crypto, especially in the bitcoin ecosystem. Despite being quite bearish, he also strongly supports the technology, defending bitcoin in several debates and conferences.

Vays explained that during 2018, he set up three danger zones. Of these, the price of 1.3k per Bitcoin is not his expectation, but instead it is an extreme prediction. However, he explained that it is entirely possible ro reach All-time lows. Mr. Vays believes that the bearish market is not over yet:

“My worst case scenario target is $1,300. It doesn’t mean that Bitcoin has to get there, but to me, $1,300 has been a realistic target for over a year, and it remains a realistic target

Mr. Vays shared that during the 2018 bear market, he had 3 “warning zones,” 5k as the most optimistic, 3k as an intermediate zone and 1.3 k as the worst thing that could happen. He also explained that he does not believe that BTC will reach levels below 1k.

Currently Bitcoin has been stable around 5k for the whole week, fluctuating in an area bounded by 4.7 and 5.1k; however, long-term charts show an unusually high RSI, which can generate certain alerts to a possible mass sale in a few days. The situation is still too complex to make predictions with a certain level of confidence, But it is important no not that right now BTC is at a price zone that has not been experienced since last year:

Full interview available here:

Published at Sat, 06 Apr 2019 06:01:13 +0000

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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Double Bottom Reversal Chases Out the Bears

Bitcoin Price Analysis

In our previous BTC-USD analysis, there was a fear of a massive Head and Shoulders pattern that had very low price projections for the entire crypto market. In a turn of events, when BTC-USD made its test of the Head and Shoulders neckline, it actually responded in a market reversal.

BTCUSD HS Rejection.png

Figure 1: BTC-USD, 6-hr Candles, GDAX, Head and Shoulders Rejection

Yesterday, the crypto market took a turn upward as the market leader made a Double Bottom Reversal pattern that sent a market-wide bear run into an immediate bull run. As the BTC-USD market made an attempt to test the boundaries of the lower prices of the bear run, volume began to pick up and sent us into a market reversal. How does one spot this pattern and where are we headed in the next few days?

BTCUSD Double Bottom.png

Figure 2: BTC-USD, 30-min. Candles, GDAX

Characteristics of a Double Bottom Reversal pattern include the following:

  1. A descending trendline within an established bear trend (shown in white)

  2. An initial bottom that temporarily reverses before retesting the established low (basically forming a “W” pattern)

  3. After a test of the previously established low, the test is rejected

    1. It is important to note that in order to confirm the reversal pattern, typically you want to see consistent increased volume at the lower values (shown in dark pink)

  4. After the low is rejected a second time, it continues upward and breaks the descending trendline established in step 1 (shown in yellow)

  5. After breaking the descending trendline, the price then forms a “neckline” with the rest of the pattern (shown in light pink)

  6. From there, to confirm the trend reversal, we would want to see a break of the neckline followed by a retest of the neckline (shown in light blue)

All the above characteristics are very strong indicators of a complete bear market reversal into a bull market. As mentioned in the previous BTC-USD analysis, the bear run would continue the trend downward until significant volume picked up. In our case, the volume picked up very strongly and made a complete market reversal. Much like BTC-USD, this pattern is seen throughout several major players in the crypto market: ETH-USD, LTC-USD, ETH-BTC, etc.

It is unclear where the top of the bull run will lead us, but what is clear is that volume has dramatically picked up, indicating market interest in the higher prices. Until the volume begins to die down, the price will continue to push higher.

Summary:
  1. Head and Shoulders pattern was strongly rejected in the form of a Double Bottom Reversal

  2. Bearish trend has ended in a strong bull trend

Trading and investing in digital assets like bitcoin and ether is highly speculative and comes with many risks. This analysis is for informational purposes and should not be considered investment advice. Statements and financial information on bitcoin Magazine and BTCMedia related sites do not necessarily reflect the opinion of BTCMedia and should not be construed as an endorsement or recommendation to buy, sell or hold. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

The post Bitcoin Price Analysis: Double Bottom Reversal Chases Out the Bears appeared first on Bitcoin Magazine.