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Bitcoin Price Soars Above $7000 as Traders Ask: Blow-Off or Lift-Off?

Bitcoin price soars above $7000 as traders ask: blow-off or lift-off?

Bitcoin Price Soars Above $7000 as Traders Ask: Blow-Off or Lift-Off?

bitcoin price has gone parabolic. The past week saw its value go up nearly a whopping 40 percent. But is it now time for a blow-off top or full FOMO to the moon? Let’s take a look.


bitcoin The World’s Best Performing Asset of 2019

bitcoin price 00 has made the naysayers look foolish once again. BTC has soared a staggering 40 percent over the past week alone. Moreover, BTC/USD has more than doubled since the December-February lows.

Just yesterday, it broke the $7,000 mark on some impressive volume, the highest since volume since the April 1st rally.

bitcoin’s market cap has also added $30 billion in value since May began. By comparison, the market cap of every cryptocurrency excluding bitcoin has only risen by $10 billion during the same time period. Hence, bitcoin’s market dominance index is now the highest since its $20K all-time high price in late 2017.

Indeed, the voices of ardent no-coiners like Nouriel Roubini who danced on bitcoin’s grave in November, have gone quiet.

Blow-Off or Lift-Off

The parabolic advance that we’re currently seeing was hinted at by veteran trader Peter Brandt in early April. (Brandt also correctly called the $20K top the previous year).

BTC price is already above the previous 6K levels from which it plunged to yearly lows last November.

This is a very encouraging sign. Particularly, when the bitcoin market is now a lot more mature compared to a few years ago when fundamentals could not keep up with the runaway price.

Now, with the latest upswing, Brandt appears to be 50/50 on whether this rally continues to $10k and beyond or whether a blow-off top correction is imminent. The latter is when a steep and rapid rise in price and volume is followed by a similarly steep and rapid drop.

“Blow-off or lift-off,” he wrote.

Other commentators like ParabolicTrav have pointed out similarities, as well as notable differences, between now and the blow-off top in 2015,

Also, worth noting is that the current rally has completely wiped out the ‘Bitfinex premium.’ In fact, BTC is now trading almost $100 higher on Bitstamp.

The Public is Still On the Sidelines

Meanwhile, most of the general public is still unaware of the recent surge in bitcoin price. Google Trends data shows that interest in ‘bitcoin’ is only now starting to pick up.

The previous  60% spike over the past 3 months was during the April 1st price rally to $5000.

Bitcoin price soars above $7000 as traders ask: blow-off or lift-off?

But as Bitcoinist reported last month, people are mostly interested in bitcoin or buying bitcoin only after a major price move.

This is exactly why fund manager’s like Tom Lee prefers to ‘hodl’ as it’s shown to be a much more lucrative strategy. In fact, it’s the best way to not miss out on the bitcoin rocket as it historically generates most of its annual gains in just ten days.

Therefore, hitting the $10K mark would break a major psychological barrier as many people will realize that bitcoin is actually not dead. What’s more, many will try to buy back in with the $20K price still fresh in their minds.

A Twitter poll from Lee provides some insight into the possible point of FOMO could be this time around.

Out of over 4,000 participants:

  • 44% chose $10K,
  • 32% chose over $20K
  • 24% think the FOMO is already underway.

Will bitcoin price rally higher or is a blow-off imminent?  Share your thoughts below!


Images via Shutterstock, Twitter, Google Trends

The Rundown

Published at Sun, 12 May 2019 07:00:45 +0000

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Thomas Peterffy on CME Futures: “A Catastrophe in the Cryptocurrency Market… will destabilize the real economy.”

Chairman of Interactive Brokers, Thomas Peterffy, has voiced concerns about the plan to launch a bitcoin Futures contract. According to their CEO, Terry Duffy, the CME Group intends to offer the listing as early as the second week in December. However, Peterffy is worried about the implications of a crypto-based Futures market. For him, the violent swings associated with digital currencies and assets could spell disaster for investors, as well as the economy as a whole.

Interactive Brokers are themselves a CME clearing member and through an open letter dated November 14, 2017, they requested that “the Commission require that any clearing organisation that wishes to clear any cryptocurrency or derivative of a cryptocurrency do so in a separate clearing system isolated from other products.”

For Peterffy, there is “no fundamental basis for valuation” of cryptocurrencies and the volatility common within markets is cause for concern. He highlighted the lack of a “mature, regulated and tested underlying market” and declared that determining the amount of funds necessary to margin such a product is “impossible”. For him, drastic movements in price could affect many more than just a few unlucky traders:

… a catastrophe in the cryptocurrency market that destabilizes a clearing organization will destabilize the real economy.

He continued:

“If the Chicago Mercantile Exchange or any other clearing organization clears a cryptocurrency together with other products, then a large cryptocurrency price move that destabilizes members that clear cryptocurrencies will destabilize the clearing organization itself and its ability to satisfy its fundamental obligation to pay the winners and collect from the losers on the other products in the same clearing pool.”

However, Peterffy and Interactive Brokers did suggest a way to mitigate the risk. They advocate keeping cryptocurrency derivatives entirely separate from other financial products. To protect the members of clearing organisations from the “unique risks in clearing cryptocurrencies” they should remain “isolated”.

Before signing off, Peterffy offered his and his company’s support to help CME investigate and safeguard against such supposed dangers:

We would be happy to discuss this with you or to provide any further information at your convenience.

 

Image: ShutterStock

 

 

 

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