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Bitcoin is ‘Not an Investment … It’s a Trade,’ Says Billionaire Howard Marks

Bitcoin is ‘not an investment … it’s a trade,’ says billionaire howard marks

Bitcoin is ‘Not an Investment … It’s a Trade,’ Says Billionaire Howard Marks

Howard Marks, co-founder and co-chairman of Los Angeles-based distressed debt investor Oaktree Capital Management, slammed bitcoin for not having any substance — while saying investors are merely speculating on its price without being able to judge its intrinsic value. 


‘It’s Not an Investment’

Marks took part in CNBC’s eighth annual conference for institutional investors – Delivering Alpha — which was held in New York, where he expressed his rather negative sentiment towards the first and foremost cryptocurrency.

Marks noted that bitcoin (BTC) 00, which has a market capitalization upwards of $126 billion, fails to fulfill the definition of an investment, stating:

It’s not an investment … it’s a trade.

He went on to imply that any and all long-term investors are merely speculating on its price, stating that those who buy bitcoin do so “Not because they can specify its intrinsic benefits. Not because they can judge the intrinsic value. But only because they think it’s going up.”

Bitcoin is ‘not an investment … it’s a trade,’ says billionaire howard marks

The billionaire investor also made reference to the “Greater Fool Theory” — a popular argument which defines the price of an asset not by its intrinsic value but rather by the expectations of the market participants.

Marks also expressed his bearish stance on the future of bitcoin, stating:

In the long run, I think it will be shown not to have any substance.

It goes without saying that bitcoin has its fair share of speculative traders. However, can’t this be said for other asset classes as well? Marks has already once acknowledged that he doesn’t know what’s behind bitcoin, yet this hasn’t kept him from bashing it and everyone who believes in its value.

Meanwhile, one of the world’s largest financial services providers, MasterCard, won a patent which purports to pave the way for crypto-based credit card payments — essentially hinting that the company believes cryptocurrencies are here to stay.

Bitcoin is ‘not an investment … it’s a trade,’ says billionaire howard marks

‘Unfounded Fad’

It’s worth noting that Marks’ latest talks are fairly lighthearted compared to his previous outbursts on bitcoin.

In one of his memos of 2017, he slams cryptocurrencies as an “unfounded fad”:

In my view, digital currencies are nothing but an unfounded fad (or perhaps even a pyramid scheme) based on a willingness to ascribe value to something that has little or none beyond what people will pay for it.

His remarks greatly resemble ones from another prominent figure in the financial world – JP Morgan Chase’s Jamie Dimon — who also believes bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are a fraud. However, Dimon has since taken a U-turn on his statements, publically acknowledging that he regrets making them.

Not surprisingly, Mr. Marks once also admitted that his views on bitcoin were mistaken and that he had been looking at the cryptocurrency the wrong way.

Do you think bitcoin has no intrinsic value? Don’t hesitate to let us know in the comments below! 


Images courtesy of the Bitcoinist Archives, Shutterstock.

Published at Sat, 21 Jul 2018 05:00:00 +0000

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Ether Price Analysis: Potential Reaccumulation Phase Could Push Stronger Highs

Ether Price Analysis

Since its rapid ascent from $8 to the $400s, ether has seen a fair amount of volatility. Over the last few weeks, there has been a surge in volume as it pushed out of its multi-month trading range:

Figure_1 (3).JPGFigure 1: ETH-USD, 12-Hour Candles, Macro Trend

The several months ether spent consolidating appears to have formed a macro Reaccumulation Phase that led to a breakout of the trading range on strong volume; ultimately yielding our current market position in the $450s.

A Reaccumulation Phase is a pause after a strong uptrend that attempts to shake out weak shareholders as the market consolidates toward the stronger holders of a given commodity. A Reaccumulation Phase is intended to torture the weak holders of a commodity into ultimately relinquishing their market share to the stronger market players, before a strong, upward continuation of the previous trend kicks back in.

Some of the characteristics of a Reaccumulation Phase include strong buyback on the dips with high volume and wide candle spread:

Figure_2 (3).JPGFigure 2: ETH-USD, 12 HR Candles, Volume and Price Movement

When analyzing trading ranges, it is paramount to contextualize the price movement and the volume. Doing so reveals the intent of the larger market players and will help give traders insight into the potential strength (or weakness) of their investments. Throughout the length of the trading range, it is common to see several tests of both the upper and lower boundaries (the blue horizontal lines).

One key trait we are looking for when identifying a Reaccumulation Phase is the increase in volume as the stock (or coin in our case) begins to rally toward the latter end of the trading range:

Figure_3 (2).JPGFigure 3: ETH-USD, 12 Hour Candles, Trading Range Breakout

Although the current market trend is somewhat consolidating in these higher price levels, it is a very bullish sign that we have broken out of the trading range and done so on increasing volume. This trend shows that the market is now dominated by demand and all the free-floating supply has been absorbed. As the market begins to test new highs, wait for volume to increase to confirm strength in the upward direction.

Summary:

  1. ETH-USD broke out of a potential, multi-month reaccumulation phase.

  2. Increasing volume on the move out of the trading range gives us confidence in a bullish continuation.

Trading and investing in digital assets like bitcoin and ether is highly speculative and comes with many risks. This analysis is for informational purposes and should not be considered investment advice. Statements and financial information on bitcoin Magazine and BTC Media related sites do not necessarily reflect the opinion of BTC Media and should not be construed as an endorsement or recommendation to buy, sell or hold. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

The post Ether Price Analysis: Potential Reaccumulation Phase Could Push Stronger Highs appeared first on Bitcoin Magazine.