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US Officials Praise Blockchain Amid ICO Concerns

Us officials praise blockchain amid ico concerns

US Officials Praise Blockchain Amid ICO Concerns

Come together and collaborate…

This was, perhaps, the message broadcast by representatives of the U.S. government to audience members at the first day of panels at the DC Blockchain Summit in Washington, DC on Wednesday – even as securities regulators warned exchanges who offer trading of ICO tokens.

Indeed, it was James Sullivan, the deputy assistant secretary of services at the Commerce Department’s International Trade Administration who remarked during his address that “we cannot make policy in the abstract” and that, when it comes to the potential use of blockchain within the public sector, cooperation is key.

“I would welcome all of you in the audience to reach out … and to hear your recommendations,” Sullivan concluded.

While the sessions didn’t result in any major reveals of a U.S. government blockchain project, they did reveal that the tech could find its way into some of the services it offers.

Us officials praise blockchain amid ico concerns

Indeed, Sullivan expressed support for the use of blockchain within the trade finance chain, particularly for smaller companies with fewer resources.

“The companies that are usually hit hardest by that gap of trade finance are small- and medium-sized businesses,” he said. “We think this is where the blockchain could come in.”

Yet, attendees who spoke to CoinDesk proved to be more conflicted on the question of blockchain’s use in government – as well as the topic of cryptocurrency regulation, which was top-of-mind at the event as well. One employee of a major blockchain startup expressed skepticism that the U.S. government would seriously commit to using the tech, arguing that agencies might be better served looking at the benefits of tokenization.

Us officials praise blockchain amid ico concerns

Other officials at the event expressed the view that, should blockchain find its way into public-sector use, it may come as part of a wider technology suit.

Marcel Jemio, chief data architect at the Office of Personnel Management (OPM), spoke alongside IBM Public Service Blockchain partner Mark Fisk, stating that blockchain could be used to aggregate government employee data in a more accessible and efficient way.

“I think blockchain in a lot of cases is going to be an enabler of solving the problem, but not necessarily with solving the problem only with blockchain,” Fisk stated.

‘Everyone’s talking about it’

As might be expected, the topic of regulation was a major one, both on and off the stage.

Earlier in the day on Wednesday, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission publicly warned about “potentially unlawful online platforms for trading digital assets,” arguing that exchanges which offer services for ICO-derived tokens may be required to register with the agency.

The topic of regulation came up during an appearance by Bitmain co-founder Jihan Wu, who revealed that the bitcoin mining hardware giant wants to invest in startups seeking to create “private central banks” that use cryptocurrencies.

In Wu’s view, most tokens on the market today will ultimately come to be viewed as securities under traditional definitions.

Us officials praise blockchain amid ico concerns

“Most tokens will very likely fall into the definition of a security and will be subject to the regulation of a security,” he commented, going on to argue:

“But I believe regulators need to prepare a good answer on how to deal with such business innovations.”

Some conference attendees told CoinDesk that they would welcome regulation, particularly pertaining to ICOs, while others claimed that developing regulation at this moment would “lock” businesses into rigid models ill-suited for a fast-moving environment.

Attendees also expressed concern about the inconsistent treatment of cryptocurrencies by the U.S. government, given that the IRS considers bitcoin as property and the CFTC views it as a commodity (the latter of which having been reinforced by a court ruling earlier this week).

However, two participants from a cryptocurrency services firm said they thought such discord could eventually benefit the industry, with the lack of agreement by the IRS, the CFTC and the SEC ultimately forcing more discussion on the best way forward.

The event also saw Brian Quintenz, a commissioner for the CFTC, strongly advocate for more self regulation in the cryptocurrency space.

Quintenz told the audience that cryptocurrency platforms should “step up” and self regulate while the government deliberates, a position he has also expressed in the past.

“I believe that a private cryptocurrency oversight body could bridge the gap between the status quo and future government regulatory action,” he argued, adding that he believes such a group could have a global influence. 

Images by Annaliese Milano for CoinDesk

The leader in blockchain news, CoinDesk is an independent media outlet that strives for the highest journalistic standards and abides by a strict set of editorial policies. Have breaking news or a story tip to send to our journalists? Contact us at news@coindesk.com.

Published at Thu, 08 Mar 2018 12:00:24 +0000

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Ether Price Analysis: Market Consolidation Provides Calm Before Next Breakout

Ether Price Analysis

Over the past few days, despite major swings throughout the crypto-market, ETH-USD finally appears to be displaying nice, reliable signs of market consolidation:

Figure_1 (1).jpgFigure 1: ETH-USD, 2-hr Candles, Bitfinex, Consolidation Pattern

Two key characteristics of market consolidation are decreasing volume over the course of a trend and decrease in price volatility. It should be noted that price consolidation can take many patterns and is not restricted to the convergent pattern (lower highs accompanied by higher lows) displayed above. For the sake of this article, we will focus on the convergent pattern displayed in our current market. To see the health of the overall market, let’s put this trend in the context of the weeks leading up to this pattern:

Figure_2 (1).jpgFigure 2: ETH-USD, 6-hr Candles, Bitfinex, Macro Fibonacci Retracement Values

Within the context of the macro trend, our consolidation pattern falls very neatly on the 60 percent Fibonacci Retracement values of the macro bull trend that brought us to our all-time high values. When looking at the health of this trend, the first thing that pops out is the large amount of supportive volume (shown in yellow) that has gone into shaping the current ETH-USD volume. The current volume trend far outweighs any of the previous volume trends throughout the life of the bear market and even throughout the life of the previous bull run that led to all-time high values.

If we zoom out even further, we can see our current volume is actually at the highest volume the market has seen since its last major consolidation period within the $40 values:

Figure_3 (1).jpgFigure 3: ETH-USD, 1-Day Candles, Log Scale, Bitfinex, Last Major Consolidation Period

The previous consolidation period (shown in yellow) resulted in a substantial Bull Pennant pattern that resulted in a bull run that doubled the market value of ETH-USD. Something interesting to note is our current consolidation pattern within the context of the entire market since the last consolidation pattern. If we look at the market moves post-consolidation as a massive bull run — which, technically, it is — we see ETH-USD is consolidating very nicely on the 50 percent Fibonacci Retracement values.

Although the price projections for our current consolidation period is substantially lower than the last major consolidation period, the important aspect to take away from Figure 3 is the magnitude of the volume the market has experienced over the past couple weeks. High volume leading into a consolidation period is a good sign that the market has found its bottom and is now gathering up support and investor confidence before a breakout.

There are two ways to view our current consolidation pattern:

  1. An agnostic (meaning it’s neither bullish-leaning nor bearish-leaning), symmetrical triangle;

  2. A Bull Pennant (a bullish continuation pattern).

For the sake of time, I won’t go into details regarding how to calculate the price targets of these patterns. Both symmetrical triangles and Bull Pennants are very commonly traded patterns and have a lot of literature to support their price targets. If this pattern turns out to be a symmetrical triangle and the consolidation breaks down, we can most likely expect a move down to the $180 range before any further upward movement is seen.

However, if this is a Bull Pennant, ETH-USD can most likely expect a ~$100 move upward, leading to a price target of approximately $330. It’s important to note that a price target of $330 would result in a 100 percent retracement since the beginning of our prior bear run. If the market breaks upward and we do see a $330 price target, a test of this 100 percent retracement value will be crucial to determine the future moves within the ETH-USD markets.

Summary:

  1. ETH-USD has spent days consolidating along $230.

  2. A breakout upward would most likely yield a $330 price target.

  3. A breakout downward would most likely yield a $180 price target.

Trading and investing in digital assets like bitcoin and ether is highly speculative and comes with many risks. This analysis is for informational purposes and should not be considered investment advice. Statements and financial information on bitcoin Magazine and BTC Media related sites do not necessarily reflect the opinion of BTC Media and should not be construed as an endorsement or recommendation to buy, sell or hold. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

The post Ether Price Analysis: Market Consolidation Provides Calm Before Next Breakout appeared first on Bitcoin Magazine.