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Tron Price Shows Bullish Signs yet Traders Expect a big Retrace

Tron price shows bullish signs yet traders expect a big retrace

Tron Price Shows Bullish Signs yet Traders Expect a big Retrace

Tron price shows bullish signs yet traders expect a big retrace


When it comes to the different cryptocurrencies, tokens, and assets on the market today, there will be some interesting trends to take note of. Contrary to most people’s expectations, the Tron price is moving up fairly quickly. After surpassing the 600 Satoshi level once again, it would appear TRX is in a pretty good place. That is, assuming that uptrend can be sustained for more than a few hours.

Tron Price Uptrend Seems Uncertain

Most traders will be quite pleased to learn the bearish pressure has not remained in place for very long. While yesterday did not look too great, today seems to offer a bit more hope. bitcoin is already on the retrace again, though, and this may hurt all alternative markets moving forward. For the time being, Tron seems to buck the negative trend. Its gains are still in place, although one has to keep in mind there will be plenty of resistance to keep an eye on.

Over the past 24 hours, the Tron price noted a strong 6.86% increase in USD value. This brings the value to $0.02432 again, although a push to $0.025 is not necessarily feasible at this point. In terms of TRX/BTC, there is a 7.41% gain, bringing that ratio back to 605 Satoshi. Maintaining a hold of the 600 Satoshi level will not be easy whatsoever, but it can be done. The current trading volume should make that possible, although one never knows how things will play out.

Although the current TRX price momentum seems to be doing quite well, there are still lots of people who oppose the concept of Tron and its founder Justin Sun. Geoff Golberg, for example, would like to point out roughly 20,000 of Sun’s recent Twitter followers were created in the month of March 2019. They also seem to simply want to partake in his $20,000 giveaway, which will always attract some sort of unwanted attention. How this affects the perception of Tron, is a bit unclear at this time.


Crypto Picks, an avid watcher of crypto price charts is not too convinced there will be a long-term Tron uptrend to keep an eye on. More specifically, he expects the TRX/BTC ratio to remain as bearish as it has been for some time now. The current push to above 600 Satoshi may come under a lot of pressure in this regard, although it is still early to draw any real conclusions. There is always a chance this “doom scenario” will play out as foretold.

When looking at the more detailed charts, it seems there is a good reason as to why people expect a downtrend fairly soon. With such a bullish candle materializing out of the blue, there is a good chance this uptrend cannot be sustained for very long. After all, a bullish candle sparks excitement, but they are also very difficult to sustain for an extended period of time. While Tron might be an exception, it is more likely to expect things to return to normal fairly soon.

For the time being, most of the crypto, token, and asset markets are under a fair bit of pressure. Despite some positive trends forming across the board, it is evident a bitcoin price retrace will drag all other markets down with it in the process. How this will affect Tron, is always difficult to predict. While this market is usually rather resilient, it is impossible to buck the overall trend if it remains in place. As such, this weekend will prove to be interesting for many different reasons.


Disclaimer: This is not trading or investment advice. The above article is for entertainment and education purposes only. Please do your own research before purchasing or investing into any cryptocurrency.

Image(s): Shutterstock.com

Published at Sat, 23 Mar 2019 16:00:53 +0000

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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Signs of Divergence May Point to Potential Distribution Phase

Bitcoin Price Analysis

After bouncing back and forth from $5100 to $6100, BTC-USD managed to squeeze out one more (albeit short-lived) all-time high. This article is going to present an update to the last discussion regarding the potential Wyckoff Distribution and provide a more contextualized, macro-view of the current bitcoin market. Before reading any further, I would like to emphasize the word “potential” within the context of this discussion because until the market actually reverses, this is nothing more than a potential market set-up:

Figure_1 (16).JPGFigure 1: BTC-USD, 1-HR Candles, Potential Wyckoff Distribution

When we last discussed this potential distribution pattern, we hadn’t experienced the first Upthrust (UT) or the following Upthrust After Distribution (UTAD). Both Upthrusts represent a brute-force market test of the bitcoin demand and, as you can see, the Upthrusts were very short-lived and ultimately pulled back to more comfortable price levels.

At the time of this article, we are potentially in what is known as “Phase C” of the Wyckoff distribution. Phase C is meant to intentionally deceive the bullish retail traders into buying and to shake out unconfident shorters. The whole purpose of Phase C is to create the illusion that market wishes to push upward and resume the uptrend while the larger market players unload their liquidity onto the more bullish investors. In the Wyckoff distribution model, the UTAD is the terminal shakeout opportunity and serves to test the remaining market demand before a larger correction follows.

During yesterday’s potential UTAD, one of the top contract holders on OKCoin got liquidated for a 480,000 contract position — or, in other words: $48 MILLION dollars. Yesterday’s liquidation was the largest liquidation in OKCoin history. So, if you feel as if you can’t quite get a grasp on the market and you keep getting stopped out of your positions, just know you aren’t the only one. All of this misdirection is part of Phase C within the Wyckoff distribution model.

Figure_2 (13).JPGFigure 2: BTC-USD, 12-Hour Candles, MACD and RSI Divergence

On a more macro-view, we see clear signs of bearish divergence on both the RSI and MACD indicators. This gives us an indication that the market is struggling to squeeze out new highs and the bullish momentum is starting to die down.

Zooming out, we can see bitcoin has been confined within a fairly clean ascending channel and has well-defined support and resistance along the Fibonacci Retracement set.  The channel and Fib set start from the $600s:

Figure_3 (13).JPGFigure 3: BTC-USD, 1-Day Candles, Macro Channel

One thing of note in this macro trend is dramatic decline in total volume (shown in pink) over the length of this ascending channel. The decrease in total volume shows a decrease in confidence as the price continues to climb to new highs. As the volume continues to decline, it indicates a shift toward retail investor pressure and a smaller buying influence from larger, institutional investors.

If the market begins to reverse on a macro scale, we can expect to find support along the Fibonacci Retracement values shown above. Also, on the 1-day candles, there is historic support along the 50 EMA and 200 EMA. Over the course of the last year, bitcoin has yet to successfully break below the 200 EMA (shown in red), so we can expect to see a significant level of support along the 200 EMA.

With the uncertainty surrounding the upcoming hard fork, it’s fairly difficult to anticipate how the market will behave. It’s important to keep in mind that it is entirely possible it could make further moves upward; should the market pick up bullish momentum, we can expect a test of the upper trendline of the ascending channel near the lower $7000 values.

Summary:

  1. bitcoin is continuing to show characteristics of a distribution phase.

  2. On a macro-scale, bitcoin is signs of bullish exhaustion in the form of RSI and MACD divergence.

  3. If the market pulls back, we can expect to see support along the macro Fibonacci Retracements.

Trading and investing in digital assets like bitcoin and ether is highly speculative and comes with many risks. This analysis is for informational purposes and should not be considered investment advice. Statements and financial information on bitcoin Magazine and BTC Media related sites do not necessarily reflect the opinion of BTC Media and should not be construed as an endorsement or recommendation to buy, sell or hold. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

The post Bitcoin Price Analysis: Signs of Divergence May Point to Potential Distribution Phase appeared first on Bitcoin Magazine.

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