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Stock Market Will Have ‘Good Year’ in 2019: Wharton Finance Prof.

Stock market will have ‘good year’ in 2019: wharton finance prof.

Stock Market Will Have ‘Good Year’ in 2019: Wharton Finance Prof.


Jeremy siegel s&p 500 wharton dow jones nasdaq stock market

While the US stock market continues to struggle as a result of various institutional and political forces, Jeremy Siegel, professor of Finance at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business, remains optimistic about the state of the market in 2019.

Speaking in an interview on CNBC’s Squawk on the Street, Siegel predicted that equity markets in the United States would have “a good year,” rising in the range of 5 to 15 percent.

We went from a rosy view to now, ‘Oh my God, there’s going to be a recession.’ The truth will be somewhere in between, and that leaves the stock market very attractive now.

Using the current valuations levels, he said that even if there is no growth in earnings this year, the current realities make it a “cheap market.” He acknowledged that a recession could drag the already-battered markets a bit, but he maintained that this wasn’t going to happen.

Dow jones nasdaq 100 s&p 500
The dow, nasdaq, and s&p 500 have all endured steep losses over the past month.

In an interview with MarketWatch, Siegel said the strength of the American economy and a healthy job market give enough reason to doubt the occurrence of an economic recession hitting the country.

There’s been a wobble here, and that is what the market feels. We’ll be wobbling to a slowdown but not a recession.

Siegel, who is particularly famous for forecasting that the Dow Jones Industrial Average would be above 20,000 at the end of 2015, is predicting that in the near term, bulls will be emboldened by better-expected economic and corporate results.

Last December marked the worst drop for the Dow and the S&P 500 since 1931, as well as the lowest annual return for the three equity yardsticks (also putting the NASDAQ Composite Index into consideration) since the 2008 global financial crisis. Equities also fell in December as investors continued to worry about the partial government shutdown and Federal Reserve interest rate policies.

President Donald Trump has come out to reassure Americans about last month’s market decline, describing it as nothing more than a momentary setback. Speaking to reporters earlier this week, Trump claimed that last month produced no more than a “glitch” in the stock market. He predicted that equities will recover once the United States completes a trade deal with China.

Featured Image from Bloomberg/YouTube. Price Charts from TradingView.

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Published at Wed, 02 Jan 2019 20:47:22 +0000

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CryptoKitties Creates Massive Backlog on the Ethereum Network

The new decentralized game CryptoKitties launched last week, with the purpose of the game to collect, bred, and trade electronic cats. Due to the game’s unbelievable popularity, the Ethereum network has been seeing record rates of transaction backlog.


Cat-Based Trading Game

CryptoKitties launched at the end of last month as one of the first games based on a decentralized blockchain. A kooky combination of Pokemon meets Beanie Babies on the blockchain, the goal of the game is to buy virtual cats and collect them. Each cat has is unique and has its own “DNA” that is recorded on the blockchain. Once you start acquiring a decent number of cats, you can start breeding them to create new, rarer cats. These cats have a value on the open marketplace, with the first cat created dubbed the “Genesis Cat” fetching upwards of $110,000 in ether.

Image result for crypto kitties

These cats are traded via Ethereum transactions, and it is quickly taking over the network. At the beginning of the weekend, CryptoKitties trades amounted to roughly 4% of the network’s transaction volume. Today they account for almost 15% of the transaction volume. It has gotten to the point where the team behind the game has announced that they are doubling the fees needed to birth a new cat to make sure the transaction can get processed in a timely manner.

We’re beginning to see cracks in the second biggest blockchain in the world, adding an urgency to scaling solutions that blockchain technology desperately needs. bitcoin has been experiencing full or near full blocks for over a year now. With Ethereum soon to be hitting its capacity, research into new options to help decentralized technology scale are needed soon.

Fixing the Problems at Hand

Some people are requesting that miners increase what is known as the gas limit, which is like blocksize in bitcoin. Gas is a measure of computational effort, and each operation has a set amount of gas attached to it. Operations can be things like adding numbers together, calculating a hash, or sending a transaction. The limit is the maximum amount of gas that can be included in a block. With this limit in place, it can cap the block size and the speed of propagation around the network. These two things are essential to maintain the decentralized nature of blockchain technology.

Unfortunately, miners are unlikely to change this parameter as it has its own adverse effects as well. A statement made on Reddit by the operator of EtherChain, a large Ethereum mining pool, has stated

The network uncle rate has already reached levels (~30%) comparable to the Network DoS attacks during October 2016. This means that currently every 3rd Block get orphaned. Increasing the gas limit will likely make the current situation even worse. Without substantial improvements on how those large blocks are processed by the current implementations and distributed through the network I don’t think increasing the gas limit further is feasible right now. While high end systems are still able to validate heavy blocks within several 100 ms, low end systems already take up to a few seconds to validate and distribute a block.Bottom of Form

A solution is needed for the current levels of congestion, as some transaction fees are hitting close to a dollar, a level that the Ethereum Network was never supposed to hit.

What do you think about this new game? Do you own any crypto kitties? Let us know in the comments below!


Images courtesy of CryptoKitties.co, BitInfoCharts

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