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NEO and ONT – Comparing Terminal Shakeouts

Neo and ont - comparing terminal shakeouts

NEO and ONT – Comparing Terminal Shakeouts

Even though I’ve been leaning a little bearish on the market recently, since a lot of altcoins have broken their mid-term uptrends against bitcoin or even headed back to major support levels…the USD value of many altcoins remains fairly bullish for now. NEO, for instance, is still above $10, despite drifting down to lower supports on the bitcoin ratio. Much of the recent bullish action on NEO has occurred with massive volume . Meanwhile, our current selloff is occurring on low volume . This is exactly what happened with ONT before it went on its major run, where it tripled in USD value in several weeks. Additionally, the consolidation period after the November selloff has also occurred on higher volume than the drop .

A while ago, I posted an educational video about why I entered a long term position on ONT at $0.60/1700, and how I was able to spot accumulation (the link to that video is at the bottom). I also saw it occurring with ICX, which is why I posted the video on the ICXBTC pairing. Looking at the NEOBTC chart, we can see that it’s printing a somewhat similar pattern with a similar volume profile as well, albeit on a much larger time scale. One of the major differences is that NEO made a higher high before dropping, which indicates that buyers do still exist for NEO. The rejection is a bit more concerning, which tells us that NEO isn’t as strong as ONT , for now. Investors are concerned that NEO will continue to lag behind the rest of the market, as it has really fallen from its former glory . Here’s the ONT chart from its recent bottom:

I’m presenting this comparison because I think there is still hope for NEO. It’s certainly possible it heads to new lows, but the volume profile tells me there is some decent interest at these recent price levels. When ONT rose from $0.50, there wasn’t really any major news to back it up. The market simply decided it was undervalued. I’m still holding my long term position on NEO (having bought it with my TRX back in early January). NEO has still performed better than TRX since then.

Based on my chart, even if NEO is to rise again eventually, it still may need to fall to a lower support (indicated by the red X). After my previous analysis, NEO hit my first target between 2600 and 2700, but only to get rejected hard. The good news is, the 2400 resistance might be a bit weaker now, should NEO eventually get back up there.

Looking at the USD chart, you can see it looks much more bullish than the bitcoin chart. We have some room to go down there, and we still haven’t broken our uptrend on that pairing. If NEO is to rise eventually, it could take a while to break the $14 resistance, as it was previously major support (that was my target in USD value on the recent run up). The market needs time to accept current prices after such a severe decline, so some consolidation would definitely be welcomed. it would give a good opportunity for buyers to support a new floor for the crypto sphere. Of course, If the uptrend fails to hold, it won’t be good for NEO, or most other altcoins for that matter.

Anyway, this is not financial advice. This is just a post I wanted to make, since I thought it was interesting. I hold both ONT and NEO, and I’m curious to see how they both continue to evolve.

-Victor Cobra

Published at Tue, 16 Apr 2019 16:41:36 +0000

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University Student Involvement Supports Australia’s Booming Blockchain Community

University Student Involvement Supports Australia’s Booming Blockchain Community

The blockchain industry is booming in Australia recently after the Australian Tax Office (ATO) announced changes to tax laws in the 2017–2018 budget summary by the Australian government, surrounding how digital currencies are treated in the country. In the few weeks since the announcement, active blockchain communities and events such as RegHack DownUnder have launched across the country, supported by universities and government regulators.

Australia has traditionally held strict tax laws when it comes to how they handle bitcoin and other digital currencies, defining bitcoin as a separate asset class to fiat currency and requiring that transactions involving digital currencies are taxed twice by the Australian Tax Office. The new budget summary removes any general sales tax made more than once in the supply chain using digital currency, in an attempt to “make it easier for new innovative digital currency businesses to operate in Australia” and to grow their nascent community into a global innovation hub.

The summary states, “The Government is committed to establishing Australia as a leading global financial technology (FinTech) hub and is announcing a new package that aims to position our local fintech industry as a world leader.”

This new regulatory environment has spurred growth in the community, from university campuses all the way up to the government regulators. Students have begun to launch clubs at universities across the country, and regulators and business executives have begun to take notice.

“We’re excited blockchain [technology] can finally move to our campus and Australia in a big way. There’s been a significant increase in interest from the community in the past few weeks,“ said Ryan Pousson, the regional head of the Blockchain Education Network (BEN) in Brisbane and the founder of the UQ Blockchain Club, in a statement to bitcoin Magazine. This perspective was echoed by Jared Piper, a region head of the Blockchain Education Network in Melbourne.

Aaron Schwartz, the director of global engagement at BEN and partner at MLG Capital, told bitcoin Magazine, “It’s super exciting to be part of a decentralized organization like BEN that is doing something unique with a swarm-style model. We are quickly spreading to countries all across the world with new chapters opening up across Australia, Colombia, Nigeria and Bangalore, just to name a few. We encourage anyone in a blockchain community around the world to reach out to get started growing their local community.”

On the weekend of May 12–14, government representatives in the energy sector and banking executives in the financial services industry came together to judge RegHack DownUnder. The brightest developers, UI/UX designers and entrepreneurs across Australia were encouraged to spend the weekend in Melbourne to develop blockchain technology solutions to solve some of the problems it faces in these two heavily regulated sectors.

In advance of the hackathon, Adam Lemmon, a blockchain expert from Toronto, flew down to Melbourne to present an overview of Ethereum development and Solidity to the community. Following the event, Lemmon said, “RegHack was an amazing experience and it was inspiring to see such a young blockchain community so excited about the technology.”

Chami Akmeemana, the organizer of RegHack DownUnder, predicts a fast growth in the community. He said to bitcoin Magazine following the event: “It was a mammoth success. Close to 100 participants spent three days exploring tech solutions to regulatory issues. We now have 100+ blockchain enthusiasts, that I expect [will grow] to over 1000+ by the end of the year. I’m hoping to see some world-class blockchain applications coming out of Australia and I’m stoked to be part of this boost to the ecosystem.”

The regulators in Australia are on board too with this digital transformation. Igor Simunovic, a representative from the Australian Transaction Reports and Analysis Centre (AUSTRAC), said in a statement following the event that “the event provided opportunity for industry (including government) and freelancers/students/developers to meet, integrate and share through the problem solving required to address the Hackathon ‘problems.’ Such meeting and teamwork opportunities are rare and often bound by the [confines] of conferences or meet-ups. The process of discovering new technologies and frameworks was just a bonus.”

It is still the beginning in the growth trajectory of the blockchain community in Australia, but it is an exciting time to be part of a global movement. For example, in the few months following November’s RegHack TO, the first hackathon hosted by a securities regulator in Canada and inspired by Chami Akmeemana, the number of people attending meetups in Toronto has tripled from 200 to over 700 at the most recent blockchain meetup in Toronto. Getting the entire community on board from universities to business executives to government regulators is an important milestone for any community striving to become a blockchain hub.

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