April 19, 2026

Capitalizations Index – B ∞/21M

Gold Price May Offer Clues About Next Big [BTC] Move

Gold price may offer clues about next big [btc] move

Gold Price May Offer Clues About Next Big [BTC] Move

bitcoin (BTC) traders could get cues from an apparent negative correlation that has developed between bitcoin [BTC] and gold prices.

Gold picked up a strong bid at $1,196 on Nov. 13 and jumped to $1,300 on Jan. 4, possibly due to a sell-off in the weakening U.S. dollar. The greenback was down against most currencies in last two months of 2018 on growing speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could decrease or pause interest rate hikes in 2019.

bitcoin, however, did not benefit from that broad-based sell-off in the U.S. dollar. Notably, the cryptocurrency revived the bear market with a convincing move below $6,000 on Nov. 14 – a day after gold found takers around $1,200 per Oz.

The price action indicates that the two assets are inversely correlated. Validating that argument is the 90-day correlation coefficient of -0.593. The statistical measure ranges from -1 to 1. A negative number represents the inverse relationship between the two variables, while a positive number implies direct correlation.

As a result, the leading cryptocurrency by market value could be influenced by the next move in gold prices.

BTC is trading in a narrow range above $3,500 for the 13th straight day. The prolonged period of consolidation could end with a strong bullish move if the corrective pullback in gold worsens – the metal hit a three-week low of $1,276 earlier this week and is currently trading at $1,285 per Oz.

It is worth noting that “correlation is not causation”. It only describes the relative change in one variable when there is a change in the other.

bitcoin and gold chart

Gold price may offer clues about next big [btc] move

As seen above, bitcoin [BTC] and gold have moved in opposite directions since late November.

Gold rallied 8.33 percent in seven weeks leading up to Jan. 4. During the same time, BTC depreciated by 50 percent.

Further, gold’s repeated failure at $1,300 has established that psychological level as a stiff near-term resistance. Meanwhile, BTC has defended $3,500 since Jan. 11.

The cryptocurrency could see a strong bullish move if the pullback in the yellow metal gathers steam.

bitcoin daily chart

Gold price may offer clues about next big [btc] move

On the daily chart, BTC created a “long-tailed” candle at the crucial support of $3,500, signaling bearish exhaustion. A positive follow-through, that is, a convincing move above $3,615 (Tuesday’s low) would confirm bullish bias.

View

  • bitcoin and gold are inversely correlated. As a result, sustained weakness in gold could bode well for BTC. On the other hand, BTC may face fresh selling pressure if gold moves past the psychological hurdle of $1,300.
  • As far as technicals are concerned, the immediate bias remains bearish, as indicated by the downward sloping 10-week MA. The prospects of a break higher toward $4,000 would improve if prices close today (as per UTC) above $3,615.

Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.

Bitcoin image via CoinDesk archives; charts by Trading View 

Published at Wed, 23 Jan 2019 11:00:21 +0000

Previous Article

Bitcoin Exchanges Don’t Need Money Transmitter Licenses in Pennsylvania

Next Article

CoinZest Airdrop Event Goes Wrong, Customers Receive $5.3 Million Worth of Crypto

You might be interested in …

Launching a Cryptocurrency “Token Generation Event” (aka an ICO)

Ethereal ICO panel

On October 27, 2017, disruptors in the cryptocurrency field gathered at the San Francisco Ethereal SummitSponsored by ConsenSys, the summit provided a diverse mix of panels and workshops that demystified the “initial coin offering” (ICO) or “token generation event.”


Side note: Vernacular is key. Referring to a token launch as an ICO is so “September.” The process is now referred to as a “token generation event.”


At the “How to Launch a Token” panel, token generation event veterans Galia Benartzi (co-founder of Bancor Protocol), Matt Liston (CSO at Gnosis) and Piotr Janiuk (co-founder and CTO of the Golem Project) guided Ethereal participants through a hypothetical: founding a hat company and funding the development through a token. Here are some of the key points that they discussed.

Step 1: Determine if the token model fits for the new company

Imagine the whole process backward: What layer does the company involve — application, platform or protocol? Design the decentralized concept first and then discern if a token is necessary.

Criteria:

  • Is the project based on a decentralized model? If not, equity funding is a viable option –– no need for a token.

  • What is the token’s utility within the network? How are customers involved in the network? For example, is the token facilitating and incentivizing collaboration between the community in the network? If so, tokens (similar to shares and equity in a normal company) are a great way to distribute participation among stakeholders.

Tokens work best when fueling network effects around ideas –– when there are benefits to being an early adapter/stakeholder.

Step 2: Find a strong legal team and a favorable regulatory environment

Regulation in the cryptocurrency space is in its infancy and varies greatly around the world.

Criteria:

  • Find a competent lawyer with an understanding of the space that can give risk parameters. It is important to minimize risk for the project.

  • Select a government that defines clear boundaries and has a forward-thinking mentality.

Although blockchains and cryptocurrency promise decentralized disruption to all industries, anarchy would be unfavorable to all. All companies must comply with the law.

Step 3:  Work on the prototype phase

Establish a white paper, set up the concept on the testnet and prove the concept.

Criteria:

  • White paper: describe your network, protocol and model. White papers should strike the proper balance between being math-heavy and marketing-heavy. The goal is for users and stakeholders to understand exactly what the network is doing.

  • Prove that your concept works and expose its source code. Everything should be 100 percent transparent to the public.

  • Trustless (trust forced through code) and transparent networks are critical to long-term success. Secure and validate data by rewarding “oracles,” people who provide trustworthy answers and validate that events did in fact occur. On the flip side, penalize those who lie to the network.

Trust and transparency are paramount for any company that is considering funding its development with a token.

Step 4: Connect with the community

Generating interest for the token and setting the foundation for strong community support before finally launching a token generation event to the public is crucial.

Criteria:

  • Develop a public-relation strategy. Share as much as possible. Post videos, host AMAs, etc. This process can be grueling, but it is necessary to establish a global presence and field questions.

  • Prepare for a fast-paced environment. Communication builds authenticity and credibility with supporters around the world.

  • Listen to outside perspectives and criticisms.

Because token generation events allow for decentralized methods of funding, the company’s diligence process should be decentralized to match.

Tokens generation events are complicated and don’t work for every business type. However, they unlock a new economic driver: permissionless venture capital.

The post Launching a Cryptocurrency “Token Generation Event” (aka an ICO) appeared first on Bitcoin Magazine.

Adblock plus jumps aboard the blockchain to spot fake news

AdBlock Plus Jumps Aboard the Blockchain to Spot Fake News

AdBlock Plus Jumps Aboard the Blockchain to Spot Fake News Advertisement Open Positions at CCN: Full Time and Part Time Journalists Wanted. The popular ad blocker launched a new product called TrustedNews which tells the […]