The 140ish level has been a real pain in the ass for ETH’ the past weeks. The past days it has been weaker than as well, which is something we have not seen much during sideways movements the past few rallies. There is a lot of noise in the market now, the big crypto’s or simply not taking a direction and are moving sideways. My bitcoin’ analysis from a week ago, there was a very realistic chance for a good rally coming period, but i asked for some good movement for the past week. We had a good start, but the past days has been a lot of sideways movement. Been several attempts from the bulls, few moments where there was a lot of big buying going on, but the bears just kept throwing in sell walls which stopped each rally.
I am not that confident about short term movement, ETH’ looks very weak at the moment. Moving below that blue curved line for days now. If we see that line break, we could see something happen again, maybe another attack of the 140ish level. Now since this 140 level has been such a big (neckline), we should see a big jump up when it breaks. If we don’t see a big jump, i would be very careful with long positions.
Bigger picture: there is room for another drop towards 120ish and keeping that triangle intact. Because the last rally got stopped again around 160, this triangle could be real. If the bulls are able to touch it one more time, i think the chances will be like 80% that it will break it eventually. A third touch is usually a sign that bulls are in control, like a hidden sign.
Short term, as long as we stay below that curved line, we have to assume we could see a drop again to 115/125. I think if it drops, probably be below last weeks low, so closer to 120ish. If we break the blue curved line, we should see an attack on the 140 zone. I explained above what we need to see if it happens.
Previous analysis:
Published at Mon, 11 Mar 2019 01:49:21 +0000
