February 12, 2026

Capitalizations Index – B ∞/21M

BTC 3-hour forecast. Machine learning.

Btc 3-hour forecast. Machine learning.

BTC 3-hour forecast. Machine learning.

Btc 3-hour forecast. Machine learning.

Dear colleagues and followers,

We would like to sincerely thank you for staying in touch and interacting with our posts. The Osiris team will keep working hard to constantly improve our predictive and trading algorithms to deliver the best results achievable.

Recently, bitcoin price started a short term upside correction from the $3,295 low against the US Dollar . The BTC/USD pair traded above the $3,400 resistance and the 100 hourly simple moving average . Besides, there was a break above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the $3,635 high to $3,295 low. The price succeeded in clearing a major bearish trend line with resistance at $3,400 on the hourly chart. (Source: https://www.newsbtc.com/2018/12/13/bitco…)

Cryptocurrency gained 17 million “verified users” this year, according to a study published by the Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance Dec. 12. According to the study, data show that in the first three quarters of 2018 the number of ID-verified cryptocurrency users nearly doubled, climbing from 18 million to 35 million.According to a Bloomberg analysis of the study, the growth of the user base this year while crypto markets decline “could signal that an eventual recovery could be coming.” The analysis further notes that “most users are likely still speculators and long-term investors.” In terms of breaking down who is investing in crypto, the Cambridge research team also claims that the data “indicates that the majority of users — both established as well as new entrants — are individuals and not business clients.” Those individuals, the document explains, could be “hobbyist retail investors, consumers, or users seeking a better investment or payment alternative.” (Source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/number-of…)

The following is a scheduled notification from the Osiris team. Our models have been working hard and smart on forecasting the market, and here are the most up-to-date predictions for the next 3 hours:

As usual, red, green and blue rectangles demonstrate predicted values of low, high and close, respectively, with corresponding confidence intervals, and the black arrow illustrates our trades.

Pair: BTC/USD
High: 3550.06
Low: 3437.05
Close: 3550.06

It has been more than three weeks since the notable bitcoin Cash hard fork, which has resulted in two rival chains, bitcoin ABC and bitcoin SV . The respective coin prices have relatively stabilised, and the reactions to relative hash rates is not as pronounced as it used to be historically, with BAB and BSV now responding to the overall market movements to the greater extent than they do to idiosyncratic coin-related technical news. bitcoin ABC is currently in the lead again with single block advantage. ABC and SV coins are traded at $97 and $85, respectively, the latter taking a greater hit today. The trading patterns for both coins have been maturing slowly, which implies both lower volatility and lower growth potential. As for now, the SV chain has a substantial advantage in terms of hash power (64%), however the ABC chain is still controlling 55% of the network’s nodes (Sources: https://cash.coin.dance, https://blockchair.com/bitcoin-cash/bloc…). The mining profitability of bitcoin SV has remained quite low for a week now, 27.6% below the original bitcoin chain. bitcoin ABC mining profitability is somewhat stable now being 3.2% higher than that of the bitcoin chain (a 31% advantage compared to the rival SV chain). bitcoin ABC miner concentration has slightly dropped today, still remaining above historical averages however ViaBTC has generated over 32% of the chain’s blocks, followed by bitcoin .com with 26.39%. bitcoin ABC is continuing to attract occasional mining from Waterhole, Prohashing, DPool, Copernicus, P2Pool, Multipool and okminer, the first six pools now consistently mining at least one block every day (Sources: https://cash.coin.dance/, https://blockchair.com/bitcoin-cash/bloc…). Regarding the SV chain, the mining activities continue to be dominated by SVPool, Coingeek and BMG Pool, with Mempool dropping out of radar again with less than 5% today. The Osiris team might reconsider its buy-and-hold profile for BAB in the nearest future, still opting however to hold the coin as for now.

Thank you for staying in touch. We are looking forward to your feedback and any suggestions here at TradingView.

Published at Thu, 13 Dec 2018 18:09:36 +0000

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Adam Back to Jihan Wu: SegWit Not ‘Complicated,’ Fixes Satoshi’s Bug

Hashcash inventor Adam Back has said Segregated Witness (SegWit) “fixes” an original bug in bitcoin from creator Satoshi Nakamoto.


Back: SegWit ‘Fixes Satoshi Bug’

As part of a Twitter exchange Friday, Back rebuffed criticism from bitcoin Unlimited proponent Jihan Wu, demonstrating how SegWit is beneficial to the virtual currency’s core protocol.

Wu, who is a co-founder of mining conglomerate Bitmain, had said that the technology would make the network “more complicated.”

adam-back

“SegWit is not more complicated,” Back wrote.

“It fixes Satoshi’s bug that txid=H(tx,sig) to txid=H(tx) this is not complicated, and it is necessary to fix.”

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What’s more, if implemented, SegWit can can actually help reduce the so-called “technical debt” burden of complicated code albeit having its own tradeoffs, which are assessed here.

The segwit code has been heavily reviewed, which helps resist the introduction of technical debt at both a code and design level…Segwit has multiple independent reimplementations, which helps discover any unnecessary complexity and technical debt at the point that it can still be avoided.

SegWit: Complicated & Straightforward

Wu’s stance echoes a broader opinion from the Chinese community in particular that SegWit creates unnecessary complexity within bitcoin.

In an interview with Bitcoinist this month, for example, Leon Liu, CEO of P2P trading service Bitkan, said that this was a reason why the technology “is not the best solution for bitcoin scaling.”

“Segwit will not be the best solution for bitcoin scaling, it will make the bitcoin network more complicated,” he stated.

At the same time, efforts have been made to allay such fears, Blocktrail CTO Ruben De Vries commenting last year that SegWit “is not very complicated if you already know the ins and outs of the bitcoin protocol.”

segregated-witness

Back meanwhile has praised attempts at educating the wider community on the nature of scaling solutions without resorting to ‘political’ siding.

An explainer on SegWit by Andreas Antonopoulos garnered considerable praise, Back describing it as “the best he’d seen on the topic.”

On its benefits, Antonopoulos wrote in the blog post, which originally came out in August last year:

“Firstly, segregated witness reduces the overall cost of transactions by discounting witness data and increasing the capacity of the bitcoin blockchain.

“Secondly, segregated witness’ discount on witness data corrects a misalignment of incentives that may have inadvertently created more bloat in the UTXO set.”

Litecoin Bounce on SegWit Rumors?

SegWit is traditionally considered ‘complicated’ compared to merely increasing the bitcoin block size, despite the latter requiring a hard fork of the virtual currency.

Currently, the proposal is still behind bitcoin Unlimited though both need at least 95% to activate.

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Outside the bitcoin debate, rumors surfacing that Litecoin is to activate SegWit may have led to a surprise expansion in value of the altcoin by around 30%.

What do you think about the contrasting opinions on SegWit? Will it add complexity to bitcoin? Let us know in the comments below!


Images courtesy of Shutterstock, Twitter

The post Adam Back to Jihan Wu: SegWit Not ‘Complicated,’ Fixes Satoshi’s Bug appeared first on Bitcoinist.com.