September 10, 2026

Capitalizations Index – B ∞/21M

Bitcoin waking up after being repeatedly poked with a stick..

Bitcoin waking up after being repeatedly poked with a stick..

Bitcoin waking up after being repeatedly poked with a stick..

Good day Traders

As I’m sure everyone and their pet poodle knows, bitcoin had a triangle breakout a few days ago with all the volume we were looking for. If you see my previous post, I thought we would first drop to just under $3k for a dead cat bounce to $5200, however, we’ve averted the EMA15 and EMA200 bearish cross for now since the market was impatient and started the wave up without that drop and it seems we could be in the midst of a mid term change in trend already (just a pause in downtrend, as opposed to the end of the downtrend).

Since we never had that drop, I think we could possibly reach an even higher fomo extension target than the $5200 I originally had in mind. During a strong trend reversal, it’s not uncommon to have a 261.8 – 461.8 fib extension of the first breakout impulse wave.

We have a number of bullish signals and patterns for a mid term trend change:

  • Bullish crossover EMA10 and SMA100 about to take place
    Bullish crossover EMA10 and EMA50 complete (backtest to see how significant these crosses are on the daily chart )
    Price closed above SMA100, EMA10 and EMA50 on the daily
    Potential Inverse H&S – currently printing the right shoulder
    Breakout from symmetrical triangle (reversal scenario as opposed to the usual continuation pattern)

I suspect we’ll now have a 38.2-68.1 fib retracement of the recent breakout impulse). These impulse waves have been so strong that we haven’t had much pullback since the start of Feb. We should find support at our daily SMA100, and start moving towards our IHS neckline for a potential breakout. The breakout will need strong increasing volume to break through major trendline resistance from our ATH .

First TP is $4300/$4400 which is a 161.8 fib extension of the recent breakout impulse, and our daily SMA128 resistance, which has held as significant S/R in the past for bitcoin ). This area has held as strong resistance since 28 November 2018, so we should have a better idea if this is in fact a change in trend once we reach those levels and assess the volume profile .

If $4300/$4400 doesn’t provide much resistance and we blast through with ease with increasing volume , then safe to say we’re probably heading up, with a change in trend direction to fill those outstanding liquidity gaps in the $4- 5ks.

Second TP is 261.8 fib extension target of $4760 – $4880 which is also the target for the inverse H&S .

Third TP is the minimum target for the symmetrical triangle breakout, our daily SMA200 resistance and a 361.8 fib extension target of $5230/$5350.

Any move above our daily SMA200, I expect to be a short-lived extension. That $6k resistance is not going to be an easy nut to crack, after serving as impenetrable support for almost a year and I suspect if we do fomo that high, we’ll probably have a 461.8 fib bull trap extension limit of $5700-$5800, before resuming the downtrend from there, potentially to new lows.

Good luck and happy trading!

Previous chart:

“Already bottomed” view (unlikely):

Published at Fri, 22 Feb 2019 10:03:00 +0000

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Confideal – More Than Just the Sum of Its Parts

Confideal boasts a vibrant ecosystem where the core features of the integrated platform, such as smart contracts and arbitration, unite to form an application that is far more than just the sum of its parts.

[Note: This is a sponsored article.]


International trade has existed since ships first sailed upon the seas and caravans crossed mountains, but the increasing pace of technological innovation has led to a massive surge in international trade. Contracts and manufacturing details can be hammered out over video conference calls while documents can be digitally signed and sent across the world without a person having to move from their office desk.

Of course, this increased amount of trade can have potential headaches, especially if a dispute arises, which is where Confideal comes into play. Confideal is an integrated platform based upon the Ethereum blockchain that features an amazing ecosystem of core features that helps facilitate trade while reducing costs.

Three Core Pillars

The three core pillars of Confideal are: smart contracts, built-in arbitration, and CDL tokens. A number of platforms offer a single feature or two that international traders might be interested in, but Confideal is unique in that it has created a complete ecosystem composed of individual functions that come together into a harmonious whole.

Smart contracts have been revolutionary in matters of data management, and they offer a tremendous boon to businesses by creating a document that cannot be altered and is openly transparent. Many businesses have failed to take advantage of smart contracts due to the perceived need for programming knowledge and a dedicated online team, but Confideal allows for the creation of Ethereum-based smart contracts without the need for any coding.

Built into the smart contract is the arbitration feature of Confideal. The entity drawing up the contract selects an arbitrator to be used in case of a dispute arises. An important consideration is that all signatories to the smart contract have to agree to the chosen arbitrator.

Legal professionals and firms apply to Confideal, showing their qualifications and credentials, to become arbitrators on the platform. Arbitration takes one of two routes: both parties can agree to abide by the decision of the arbitrator or an arbitrator can come to a conclusion that can then be used in international courts of law for further enforcement.

The final core facet of Confideal is the CDL token, which is the main internal cryptocurrency for the platform. The token was created according to the ERC20 token standard on the Ethereum blockchain and has several uses on the integrated platform.

Bringing It All Together

Each Confideal’s three core features, when viewed independently of each other, is quite beneficial in regards to international trade. However, the symbiotic manner in which they all work together is breathtaking. The features weave together into an intricate dance that reinforce each other and make the overall ecosystem far stronger than each of the individual components.

Merchants can use CDL tokens to generate smart contracts and act as currency for the payment of the contract, which negates the standard 1% fee. These tokens can also be freely exchanged for other ERC20 tokens.

The smart contract, standing alone, is an amazing innovation for trade, but the inclusion of arbitration takes the smart contract to an entirely new level. Merchants not only have a codified document that spells out the conditions of the deal, not to mention the funds held in escrow and that the contract is unable to be illegally modified, but an automatic means for resolving a disagreement that all parties have already agreed upon has been put into place.

The dance between arbitrators and CDL tokens continues in the fact that token holders have a number of votes, based upon the number of tokens held, that can be cast to rank specific arbitrators. Every ten tokens equals one vote, so token holders have the right to directly influence the arbitration aspect of Confideal. However, this influence is not absolute as the smart contract that details the arbitrator has to be agreed upon by all interested parties. Then there’s the fact that arbitrators have no details on the principals of the smart contract, so there’s no undue influence of favoring a side that has given votes to that particular arbitrator.

Each of the core features of Confideal is of great use to merchants, but it’s the combination of all three elements (smart contracts, tokens, and arbitrators) into a cohesive whole that makes the integrated platform far greater than the sum of its parts. Each facet of Confideal reinforces the others, making them stronger and better than they would be on their own. Tokens can be used as payment and to rank arbitrators whilst arbitration is hardwired into the smart contracts that serve as the foundation of the platform. In the end, merchants and arbitrators are united together into working for smooth and seamless international trade just as the distinct features of Confideal are united together to facilitate such endeavors.


Images courtesy of Pixabay, Pexels, and Pxhere.

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