April 3, 2026

Capitalizations Index – B ∞/21M

BITCOIN TO $500,000 OR $1,000 – CryptoManiac101

Bitcoin to $500,000 or $1,000 - cryptomaniac101

BITCOIN TO $500,000 OR $1,000 – CryptoManiac101

Bitcoin to $500,000 or $1,000 - cryptomaniac101

BTC / USD TA by CryptoManiac101

What we are looking at on this chart are 3 possible tracks for bitcoin for 2019 and moving into 2020. We also are looking at likely dates of when we might see next immense bull run beginning and look at worst case scenarios.

Let’s start off with worst case scenario which would be bitcoin penetrating through support at which we currently are located of $3,400 (this month) and $3,900 (February) and $4,000 (March) If that happens we will be in a free fall down to our support zones at $2,800 – $2,500 – $1,800 and finally $845 which is our lowest possible support according to our trend line . Now before you start setting up your shorts, please note that this is one of the unlikely scenarios and at time of writing this, I only see $2,800 as a possible new low, but again, chances are somewhat slim on that If we manage to stay above our trend line .

Let’s now take a quick look at PROJECTION ‘C’ which depicts a slower growth finding bottom around $2,800 area followed by some lengthy sideways movement and setting up for first uptrend around March of 2020 – this scenario is likely if we see continued delay in regulation, institutional investor entry, Bakkt, Fidelity, Nasdaq delays and similar to those issue.

Now we go into PROJECTION ‘B’ which depicts regular growth speed and in a way mimics similar movement to what we’ve seen from 2012 to 2018 – Now do keep in mind that today we’re faced with slightly different market and with bitcoin finally hitting on the doors of numerous governments, bankers and regulators we might not require such a lengthy accumulation phase. Also keep in mind that there are good chances that we see ETF approved this year around mid to end of 2019 but that’s again, just speculation on our part with inclusion of few inside sources.

Finally, let’s look at very positive PROJECTION ‘A’ which accounts for rapid regulation releases in Q1 of 2019, on schedule BAKKT, NASDAQ and FIDELITY crypto exchanges going live and institutional money pouring into crypto market and those OTC sales finally getting reflected on market caps.

That’s mostly all we wanted to say in this chart + article and from this point let’s monitor that area of support and resistance and see if we have breakout moving into February to March this year as we see regulators finally setting up for few bills next month.

Comment with any questions or feedback as we always welcome it! Thank you for taking your time to look and read through what we had to show and say and we wish all of you a great 2019! #financialreset

Oh yeah, also this is in no way a financial advice, just our review of current market and our personal projections for this and next year.

Published at Wed, 23 Jan 2019 00:57:26 +0000

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Setting Bitcoin’s Price Mechanism: CME Group to Launch BTC Futures

Setting Bitcoin’s Price Mechanism: CME Group to Launch BTC Futures

On the anniversary of the publication of Satoshi Nakamoto’s bitcoin white paper, the price of bitcoin reached a new all-time high, following the news that CME Group, one of the world’s largest derivatives exchanges, will launch a bitcoin futures product on November 14, 2017.

Futures or derivatives in general are understood by their relationship to risk. They are investment products that can be bought and sold in the future based on being pinned to a fixed price through a contractual agreement. Basing futures off another fixed price allows investors to avoid financial risk or assume it for profit during price fluctuations.

Like most futures, CME’s bitcoin futures product will be cash-settled, based on the CME CF bitcoin Reference Rate (BRR). According to CME, the BRR is a standardized reference rate, which — along with a bitcoin spot price index, the CME CF bitcoin Real Time Index (BRTI) — “accelerat[es] the professionalization of bitcoin trading.”

Like most other financial institutions exploring cryptocurrency, CME is launching a bitcoin futures product to both satisfy client interests and investigate the rewards of testing blockchain technology’s “transparency, price discovery and risk transfer capabilities,” as noted by Group Chairman and Chief Executive Terry Duffy.

The BRR and BRTI are two tools that have become consistent and reliable price references for bitcoin globally. The BRR has been calculated and published by CME and Crypto Facilities Ltd. since November 2016. Designed according to the IOSCO Principles of Financial Benchmarks, the BRR computes price by compiling and calculating data from a number of bitcoin exchanges including Bitstamp, GDAX, itBit and Kraken.

The implications of this bitcoin futures product launch are far-reaching. It signifies both mainstream network adoption and a reduction in price volatility. As an investment product, it can readily fit into the stock portfolio of a traditional investor.

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