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Bitcoin Price Surged More In 1 Hour Than Last Two Months Combined

Bitcoin price surged more in 1 hour than last two months combined

Bitcoin Price Surged More In 1 Hour Than Last Two Months Combined

Bitcoin price surged more in 1 hour than last two months combined

Bitcoin is no stranger to powerful price movements, at times growing or declining in value by 20% to 50% intraday. As the bear market raged on, however, there has been a distinct lack of large green candles representing substantial bitcoin price increases.

But that all changed this week when Bitcoin rallied, pushing the price of the leading crypto by market cap through resistance at $4,200 to over $5,000, setting the first higher high since its parabolic advance was broken back in December 2017. The violent rally took bitcoin price higher in value in just one hour, than the prior two months of uptrend combined.

bitcoin’s April Rally Makes Fool of February and March Uptrend

Prior to the current uptrend that began in early February, bitcoin had closed a record six consecutive monthly red candles in a row. When both February and March closed in green, bulls rejoiced. However, the most recent Bitcoin rally easily bested both months in terms of value risen in just a one-hour candle, than the prior two entire months combined.

Related Reading | Crypto Community Speculates On What Triggered Massive Bitcoin Price Rally 

The uptrend began on February 7, when the leading cryptocurrency by market cap had neared support at the 200-week moving average, causing a strong bounce that many traders had been expecting. What they didn’t expect, is for the uptrend to continue over the next two months, taking bitcoin out of the current trading range and above $5,000 for the first time in 2019.

During February, the price rose from a low of $3,350 to a February monthly candle close at around $3,800. In March, the price rose from the February close, slowly, until it touched the previous high at around $4,150 at the close of March. The entire move from early February through the end of March, brought the price of bitcoin up by $800 in total.

Yesterday’s rally candle, however, rose from $4,150, before topping out around $5,100, representing an approximately $950 gain in the opening days of April. The total rise in the one hour window grew $150 more than the previous two months combined, or a total of 59 days.

Related Reading | From Banks To Funds To Brokers, Everyone Outside of Crypto Is Talking Bitcoin Today 

April has historically had some of the largest green candles across the cryptocurrency’s price charts, with last April playing host to the massive “short squeeze” that took the price of Bitcoin from $6,700 to over $8,000 in a single move. That rally, was swatted down by bears back to lows, however, this current rally comes as the 2018-2019 bear market winds down, and sellers begin to lose momentum.

Should bitcoin continue to climb from here, the crypto community will become increasingly confident that the bottom is in, and the next bull run is near.

Featured Image from Shutterstock

Published at Thu, 04 Apr 2019 00:13:14 +0000

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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Watching World Events and “Three Pushes to a High”

Bitcoin Price Analysis

BTC-USD is up 160% in the 6 weeks since it last bottomed out at around $1800. The $2850 growth marks the sixth week in a row of new highs and aggressive bull runs as bitcoin sits upon its current all-time high in the $4600s. One can’t help but wonder where the top of this run lies; Goldman Sachs is calling the top of the bull run at around $4800.

Historically, during times of war and political uncertainty, investors tend to seek financial safe havens in precious metals and other long-lasting, stable investment vehicles. Yesterday, North Korea made an aggressive move toward Japan by launching a missile over Japanese airspace. Within hours of the news hitting the public, bitcoin saw massive price growth, thus establishing, once again, a new all-time high:

Figure_1 (3).JPGFigure 1: BTC-USD, 6 Hour Candles, Bitfinex, Volume Spike Post-news Release

After an entire week of decreasing volume, BTC-USD saw a spike in buy volume once the news of North Korea’s aggression hit the public. This is one of several bullish moves in the recent series of news events following North Korean aggression. As of the time of this article, Japan has yet to formally respond to this act of aggression, and one can speculate that bitcoin will likely continue to see price growth as the political uncertainty continues to grow.

On the macro scale, bitcoin is showing signs of bullish exhaustion despite the push to greater highs:

Figure_2 (3).jpgFigure 2: BTC-USD, 1-Day Candles, Bitfinex, Signs of Bullish Exhaustion

Although there is a good argument for bitcoin price growth on just fundamental analysis of the North Korean situation alone, it’s important to remain objective in our analysis. There are three signs of bullish exhaustion in the macro trend of this BTC-USD market.

Although bitcoin is making new price highs, on the 1-day candle trend the RSI is failing to make a new high (shown in yellow) — this activity is called “divergence” and shows a decrease in bullish momentum. Additionally, although the 6-hour volume made a significant impact on the market, the 1-day volume is currently failing to make any significant impact on the overall trend (shown in blue).

Lastly and most significantly, the 1-day Bollinger Bands (shown in pink) have begun to go completely horizontal and are now beginning to actually curve downward.

The current Bollinger Band trend accompanied by the bullish momentum loss is pushing BTC-USD into a potential reversal pattern known as “Three Pushes to a High.” Basic characteristics of this pattern are:

  1. Narrowing Bollinger Bands upon the advance of each high;

  2. Momentum loss on various indicators;

  3. Continued divergence across all three highs.

Currently, the “Three Pushes to a High” reversal has yet to be confirmed and is certainly not in a tradable condition, but it is something that every bitcoin trader should consider on the macro trend of this market.

Since the run from $1800, well established Fibonacci Retracement lines have revealed themselves on the market:

Figure_3 (4).JPGFigure 3: BTC-USD, 6 Hour Candles, Bitfinex, Macro Support Lines

There is very strong support on the 23% line, as the market consolidated for about a week at those values. If our current price level proves to be the top of this run, a possible retracement might occur. Should a retracement occur, Figure 3 will be an important reference in order to see, on a macro scale, where the support levels lie and where potential market entry and exits will exist.

Summary:

  1. Uncertainty surrounding Japan’s response to North Korean aggression reveals investor interest in bitcoin;

  2. Technical indicators show the market is possibly approaching its top on the macro-trend;

  3. Support lines exist on the Fibonacci Retracement values shown in Figure 3.

Trading and investing in digital assets like bitcoin, bitcoin cash and ether is highly speculative and comes with many risks. This analysis is for informational purposes and should not be considered investment advice. Statements and financial information on bitcoin Magazine and BTC Media related sites do not necessarily reflect the opinion of BTC Media and should not be construed as an endorsement or recommendation to buy, sell or hold. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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