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Bitcoin Price Careens Lower But Bullish Trend Survives

Bitcoin price careens lower but bullish trend survives

Bitcoin Price Careens Lower But Bullish Trend Survives

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The bitcoin price on Thursday depreciated as much as 10.33-percent against the US dollar.

The cryptocurrency reached an intraday low at $4,833 in an interim bearish correction. It was already trending inside an overbought zone when the downside action started. Traders found a decent opportunity to exit their long positions around bitcoin’s fresh yearly high at $5,342, prompting a sharp pullback towards $4,789, the higher-low from yesterday. The price didn’t extend the correction and started consolidating within a new trading range instead.

bitcoin Price Consolidates Below $5,000

Bitcoin price, btc price, btc usd

bitcoin PRICE 1D CHART | SOURCE: TRADINGVIEW.COM, COINBASE

Coinbase data showed that bitcoin was more likely to extend its bearish correction to escape its overbought conditions. As of 20:21 UTC, the RSI was well above 70, signaling that buyers won’t be able to extend the bullish momentum any further. A red candle appeared thereafter, bringing RSI a little closer towards 70. A further selling action could, therefore, appear as the ongoing session matures.

Bitcoin price, btc price, btc usd

bitcoin PRICE 1D CHART (ZOOM VERSION) | SOURCE: TRADINGVIEW.COM, COINBASE

An extended bearish correction could see bitcoin testing $4,738 – the 50% level of the Fibonacci retracement chart of the recent wave from 4134-low to 5342-high – as its next potential support. Nevertheless, it is the 78.6% level of the same wave that appears to be positioned ideally. The 4393-support was a critical resistance level from the November 29 trading session last year. Traders could consider it while opening new long orders.

We expect the bitcoin price to maintain its interim bullish bias as long as it stays above the ascending blue trendline. A break below it will push the price into a support zone, which was previously a critical resistance area. bitcoin will resume its long-term downtrend only when it breaks below the green bar. Until then, it would keep its bullish momentum alive.

bitcoin Price Could Test $6,000 if it Breaks Key Resistance Level

Bitcoin price, btc price, btc usd

bitcoin PRICE 1W CHART | SOURCE: TRADINGVIEW.COM, COINBASE

As discussed in our previous analysis, the bitcoin weekly chart was giving us two crucial resistance levels to watch.

First, it is the RSI level at 53.85 that so far has acted as a borderline between a long-term bearish and bullish bias.

Second, it is the 50-period EMA that is capping bitcoin’s weekly upside momentum from flourishing further. A break above the said moving average will coincide with a jump above 53.85.

If the price manages to stay afloat above those two resistances, the likelihood of it extending its rally towards $6,000 will increase considerably.


Published at Thu, 04 Apr 2019 22:00:37 +0000

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Op Ed: Launching an ICO? Follow This Advice from the SEC

Op Ed: Launching an ICO? Follow This Advice from the SEC

Lost in the headlines over the SEC’s recent pronouncements on cryptocurrency was important practical advice for both promoters of and participants in initial coin offerings (ICOs).

Most coverage was rightfully garnered from the Report by the SEC’s enforcement division which deemed that DAO Tokens are securities, after subjecting the offering to the Howey test. However, the simultaneously issued Investor Bulletin should also be closely read by issuers of ICOs and their counsel.

Advice for Issuers and Counsel

Even though the bulletin was prepared as a cautionary statement to investors, it contains at least one disclaimer (in boldface type) that attorneys advising ICOs should add the following language to any offering document or white paper:

Investing in an ICO may limit your recovery in the event of fraud or theft. While you may have rights under the federal securities laws, your ability to recover may be significantly limited.

We have previously discussed the importance of these disclaimers and risk factors. By discussing the vulnerabilities of cryptocurrency exchanges and the potential difficulties associated with any recovery of invested or stolen funds, the SEC signals at least some of the risk factors counsel should consider adding to ICO offering materials.  

In fact, prudent attorneys advising their ICO clients would be wise to employ the cut-and-paste function, adding the above caveat to all their documents.

This additional wording is significant in that it spells out three key characteristics of ICOs:

(i) the difficulty of tracing or securing virtual currency;

(ii) the international scope of ICOs; and

(iii) the fact that lack of any central authority may limit an investor’s remedies against an issuer.

Practical Advice for Investors

Besides the usual bromides about being wary of any offer that sounds “too good to be true,” the SEC demonstrated an appreciation for the unique due diligence required in carefully evaluating an ICO.

According to the bulletin, investors should “ask whether the blockchain is open and public, whether the code has been published, and whether there has been an independent cybersecurity audit.” The SEC is communicating that those factors are indicative of companies whose products are verifiably real and secure.

Given the importance the SEC placed on these three items, rather than await questions, such points should be clearly addressed by an issuer in its ICO materials distributed to potential investors. Issuers of ICOs should include those factors and other “good facts” that can help to demonstrate their product’s value, security and legitimacy.

While the recent flurry of documents emanating from the SEC likely has given issuers of ICOs and their counsel pause (and caused them to walk each token through the Howey test), it does not appear to have stifled these transactions.

However, where the report reiterates the conceptual framework under which any potential token offering be evaluated to determine whether it constitutes a securities offering, the bulletin provides practical advice, and investors should expect to see some of the SEC’s language repeated in ICO offering documents going forward.

This is a guest post by Gray Sasser and Joshua Rosenblatt. The views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of bitcoin Magazine or BTC Media.

The post Op Ed: Launching an ICO? Follow This Advice from the SEC appeared first on Bitcoin Magazine.

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