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Bitcoin Lightning Network Continues To Boom Amid BTC Surge Past $4,000

Bitcoin lightning network continues to boom amid btc surge past $4,000

Bitcoin Lightning Network Continues To Boom Amid BTC Surge Past $4,000

Bitcoin lightning network continues to boom amid btc surge past $4,000

bitcoin Lightning Networks Starts 2019 Off Strong  

Although the crypto market has barely budged since New Year’s Day, save for Sunday’s surge, Bitcoin’s fundamentals have continued to outperform, starting off 2019 with a proverbial bang. Case in point, per data from Bitcoin analytics provider 1ML, routed through crypto trader Ride The Lightning, the capacity of the Lightning Network is up 23% in the past month.

For those who missed the memo, the Lightning Network is a second-layer scaling solution that facilitates low-cost, near-instant, scalable, and secure transactions. The scaling solution can now facilitate 557.58 BTC ($2.265 million U.S. at current prices) worth of transactions at maximum capacity — not a small sum to say the least.

This recent development comes just two weeks after the network, backed by the blockchain development consortium that is Blockstream, passed the 500 BTC milestone. So, it seems that not only has growth continued, but it seems to be accelerating, even amid bearish conditions in the broader cryptocurrency market.

And frankly, the Lightning Network isn’t any old show pony. Just recently, pseudonymous crypto-friendly artist CryptoGraffiti sold a micro-painting of a Black Swan made of U.S. dollars — likely an innocuous jab at the centralized financial world and Bitcoin’s potential to usurp that — on the Lightning Network for $0.000000040.

However, this isn’t the only piece of fundamental news that Bitcoin proponents should be celebrating. As reported by Ethereum World News previously, statistics compiled by Jameson Lopp, the technology officer at Casa and a leading Bitcoiner, have accentuated the fact that while the value of the flagship cryptocurrency fell from $16,000 on January 1st to $3,150 on December 14th, the blockchain itself and its surrounding ecosystem saw monumental levels of growth.

More specifically, the /r/bitcoin subreddit saw 61% growth in members, while Bitcoin’s market dominance made a resurgence from all-time lows at 32.5% to a yearly high of ~58%. Hashrate even doubled, contrary to the harrowing reports from mainstream media.

Long story short, Bitcoin is doing better than ever, in spite of falling prices.

Bloomberg: BTC “Technical Gauge Turns Positive”

Short-term technicals have also painted a positive picture for BTC. Per reports from Bloomberg’s Reade Pickert, after BTC surged past $4,000 for the first time since Christmas Eve/Christmas, technicals have begun to turn positive for the asset.

The Directional Movement Index, which tracks market trends, has crossed into a positive zone for the first time since mid-November, “ending Bitcoin’s ‘very strong’ selling streak.” Pickert claimed that the asset could be entering a new “positive buying phase,” which could catalyze a run-off rally in the near future. Mati Greenspan, the in-house crypto expert at eToro’s Tel Aviv office, echoed this bullish sentiment, telling Bloomberg:

In technical analysis this makes these levels very strong… But I think only once we see a strong break above 5,000, 6,000, if we get above 7,500, that’s when people start to turn really bullish.

This isn’t the only positive measure for Bitcoin that Bloomberg has recently drawn attention to. Per our previous reports, the outlet claimed that the GTI Vera Convergence Divergence indicator is suggesting BTC has entered its “longest buying streak in six months.” In terms of industry fundamentals, sources have claimed that Japan’s Financial Services Agency is looking to approve crypto-backed ETFs, which may spark adoption and push this market higher over the long haul.

Title Image Courtesy of Alex Dukhanov on Unsplash

Published at Tue, 08 Jan 2019 00:02:15 +0000

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Bitcoin Price Analysis: There May Still Be Some Life in These Exhausted Bulls

Bitcoin Price Analysis

Over the last week, the BTC-USD market has seen some major price swings. At one point, the price nearly reached $4500 only to see it pull back down to the low $4100s. And now, within two days, the price has topped back out in the low $4400s. There has been some major chop and seemingly erratic dumps and price hikes, but overall there seems to be a common upward trent within the macro market movements:

Figure_1 (10).JPGFigure 1: BTC-USD, 4-Hour Candles, Bitfinex, Macro Trend

Since the bottom of the bear run last month, bitcoin has seen several rallies that have continued along a generally positive trend. The figure above shows a trend of higher highs, higher lows and an upper/lower boundary that is converging. This type of price activity is called a rising wedge.

Coupled with this price growth is a trend of decreasing volume throughout the length of the wedge. A rising wedge is generally a bearish trend that shows weakening bullish pressure as each subsequent rally becomes smaller and smaller. As the price corrects, there are rallies that bring the price to new highs, but ultimately rally on smaller and smaller volume.

As of the time of this article, the latest rally has failed to make a new high in the low $4400s. A breakdown of this wedge could lead to a substantial price drop of approximately $500 below the point of breakdown. The approximate price target would be around $3700.

Although rising wedges are bearish in nature, that doesn’t mean new highs aren’t in store for bitcoin. The macro trend is currently showing a potential bearish move, but there is still some strength in the market. The market is currently trending above the 50 EMA and 200 EMA which, by many standards, is representative of a trending bullish market. Although the price is trending upward and the overall EMA signals are showing potential upward continuation, there are pretty clear signs of bullish exhaustion on the macro scale:

Figure_2 (10).JPGFigure 2: BTC-USD, 4-Hour Candles, Bitfinex, Bullish Exhaustion

As stated earlier, the rising wedge is paired with decreasing volume which is a clear giveaway that upward momentum is waning. To complement this exhaustion, the RSI and MACD are showing clear signs of bearish divergence in the current market and are demonstrating a lack of the bullish momentum necessary to sustain a bull market.

If the rising wedge breaks to the bottom, we can expect the support levels to lie on the Fibonacci Retracement values shown above. The ultimate price target of the rising wedge would have BTC-USD testing the 50% retracement values.

On a very, very macro scale, there are clear signs of overall bullish exhaustion since the beginning of its run from the low $1000s:

Figure_3 (10).JPGFigure 3: BTC-USD, 1-Week Candles, Bitfinex, Macro Bullish Exhaustion

Two very clear indicators of bullish momentum loss lie on the RSI and the MACD. The price of bitcoin has pushed to strong, new highs but it has left the momentum indicators weakening. The RSI is showing strong macro divergence, and the MACD is on the verge of flipping bearish for the first time since the ETF was denied back in April.

It’s not hard to argue that bitcoin has seen heavy price growth and needs a little room to breath. It is entirely possible the market won’t see any strong pullback and it may go sideways. However, in the event that a sustained market pulls the price down, we can expect to find support along the midline of the Bollinger Bands in the low $3000s. It’s important that the above chart and market implications of this macro divergence are occurring on candles that are one week. So, while this doesn’t mean the market will just suddenly plummet, it is important to understand that a substantial price drop could be in bitcoin’s future.

Even though I gave plenty of bearish arguments, it should be noted that these predictions are on a macro scale, and the immediate trend is showing strong support along the 50 and 200 EMAs. The market is bullish until proven otherwise. As the saying goes: “the trend is your friend.” bitcoin has had one heck of a year so far, but I think it’s important to point out the clear signs of a macro bullish exhaustion:

Summary:

  1. bitcoin is finding support and showing a bullish trend along the 50 and 200 EMAs.

  2. On a macro level, the trend is pushing upward but is showing a potential bearish move if the market breaks out of the rising wedge identified in Figure 1.

  3. A breakout of this wedge would have its price target in the $3700s.

Trading and investing in digital assets like bitcoin, bitcoin cash and ether is highly speculative and comes with many risks. This analysis is for informational purposes and should not be considered investment advice. Statements and financial information on bitcoin Magazine and BTC Media related sites do not necessarily reflect the opinion of BTC Media and should not be construed as an endorsement or recommendation to buy, sell or hold. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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