February 16, 2026

Capitalizations Index – B ∞/21M

Bitcoin is Screaming 'Wait'

Bitcoin is screaming 'wait'

Bitcoin is Screaming 'Wait'

Happy New Year to everyone reading this price analysis!

We’re going to start 2019 off right by diving into a fresh new bitcoin price analysis.

So, let’s begin.

So, in the chart above there are a few things to note:

1. The green dotted line represents the price’s overhead resistance. This was a major support point for bitcoin (for a number of reasons that we’ve discussed in prior price analyses.

2. Once the price dropped below this resistance point, it then re-tested this overhead resistance before ultimately dropping down to $3.2k, then retesting the overhead resistance at roughly $4.3k again (which it failed to break).

3. Since then, the price has drawn down ever so slightly and it now appears to be in consolidation.

Relative Strength Index(14) for bitcoin

I wanted to jump right into the RSI (14) for bitcoin on the daily resolution because there’s an interesting uptrend in the RSI (14) that’s been taking place over the last few weeks.

Check out the chart below:

In the chart above, we can see that the RSI (14) has been steadily increasing for bitcoin since December 20th.

To translate this in the rawest way possible, this means that bitcoin has been consistently posting gains on the daily resolution , or the gains that it has posted have far outstripped that of the losses.

When the RSI (14) first began to rise, we can tell that this was the case because of the major positive divergence that we saw between the RSI (14) and price action:

This usually is taken to be a sign of impending bullish price action. However, we have not seen such.

In my opinion, this speaks volumes about the the overall volatility (which we’ll look into in the next section).

With a current RSI (14) value of 49.18, its definitely far from being overextended.

However, with the overhead resistance we mentioned earlier providing a serious impediment to bitcoin’s price action continuing to rise, it is difficult for us to gauge future price action by solely looking at the RSI (14) on the daily resolution .

So, let’s go ahead and switch to a smaller time frame to see if we can detect any underlying trends.

RSI(14) on the H12 Resolution

We rarely use the H12 resolution, but with bitcoin’s current price action, it feels a bit more fitting.

Its also not such a reduction in the time frames that we won’t be able to extrapolate the analysis to days in the future.

Check it out below:

The RSI (14) here does not look good.

Since we halved the time frame, this would essentially equate to the RSI (7) on the daily resolution , which accounts for the last 7 days, rather than the last 14 days.

Even still, we can’t make any definitive conclusions about the RSI here (on either resolution/lookback period), other than the fact that bitcoin is exhibiting some very weak buy pressure currently.

Ichimoku Reading

For the record, the Ichimoku settings that I will be using here are the default ones and yes, they do work with crypto.

The Ichimoku on the H12 resolution doesn’t really give us any helpful information either.

We can see that the price has managed to crack through the cloud, but just barely.

However, the conversion line has crossed below the base line, which is the classic ‘sell signal’ for the Ichimoku . It appears that there is some level the divergence between the two lines that has occurred since then as well.

Zerononcense Double Guppy

Surprisingly, this indicator reflects that the price is surprisingly close to an overextension on the bull side of things.

Check it out below:

Conclusion

There’s a lot more that we could get to here when it comes to bitcoin , but I’m just not seeing anything that’s definitive (in the short-term) to be honest.

I’m going to have to make this idea neutral. Until there’s more price action, I have absolutely no inkling as to what may happen. If I were in a position (short or long), I’d probably leave until I get a better idea of what’s going on and, of course, if I were not already in one, then I’d refrain from entering one.

Given the consolidation, ambiguity of the signals, traded range that bitcoin has adhered to over the past few days, and the low volume (we didn’t get to it, but that’s a thing to consider as well), bitcoin is looking like a firm wait at this point.

Published at Wed, 02 Jan 2019 10:56:48 +0000

Previous Article

Interview with CEO of Changelly, Ilya Bere on Altcoin Magazine

Next Article

Hive Criticizes Norwegian Government Amid Concession Cuts to Miners

You might be interested in …

SEC/NASAA Ring in 2018 by Hinting at Need for (More) Cryptocurrency Regulation

sec nasaa

Yesterday, January 4, 2018, the three prominent figures of the U.S. Securities and Exchance Commission (SEC) endorsed the concerns raised in the North American Securities Administrators Association (NASAA)’s cautionary directive on cryptocurrencies, ICOs, and other “Cryptocurrency-Related Investment Products.” Jay Clayton, the Chair of the SEC; Michael Piwowar, the former acting Chair of the SEC; and Kara Stein, a prominent figure in the SEC and an author of the 2010 Dodd-Frank Act, joined NASAA, the association that is the voice of state securities agencies in the U.S.,  in urging “Main Street investors” to go beyond the headlines and hype to understand cryptocurrency investment risk.

While this is not the first SEC commentary we have seen on cryptocurrencies, this iteration of caution raises the imminent possibility of the SEC and NASAA intervention into the space, as the SEC-lauded directive showed that 94 percent of state and provincial securities regulators (or roughly 63 of the 67 securities regulators under NASAA) believe there is a “high risk of fraud” involving cryptocurrencies and that all of the securities regulators believe “more regulation is needed for cryptocurrency to provide greater investor protection.” 

Of note: Membership in NASAA not only comprises all 50 state securities regulators in the U.S. but also includes securities regulators in Canada and Mexico (as well as the U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. According to Bob Webster, Director of Communications for NASAA, the survey referenced in the directive included NASAA members from the U.S., Mexico and Canada.

The SEC statement by the three most prominent figures in the organization called the NASAA release “a timely and thoughtful reminder,” reminding investors themselves that “when they are offered and sold securities, they are entitled to the benefits of state and federal securities laws.” From a legal standpoint, this comment implies that some or all cryptocurrencies, ICOs and other cryptocurrency-related investment products will be deemed by the SEC as “securities” and that those offering these products may be soon facing accusations of selling unregistered securities in violation of U.S. Securities Laws.

There is a possible point of disparity between the NASAA directive and the coinciding SEC statement: whether cryptocurrencies are “currency.” The usual definition for currency includes the requirements they serve as an accepted medium of exchange and can be a store of value for market participants.

NASAA’s directive states that, “Cryptocurrencies are a medium of exchange that are created and stored electronically in the blockchain, a distributed public database that keeps a permanent record of digital transactions” (emphasis added).

The SEC statement, however, has a slightly different interpretation of the NASAA Directive: that cryptocurrencies “lack many important characteristics of traditional currencies, including sovereign backing and responsibility.” The SEC went further, stating that cryptocurrencies “are now being promoted more as investment opportunities than efficient mediums for exchange.”

This view, unchecked, would allow the SEC to step in to regulate these “investment opportunities.” Whether there was a differing view the SEC wished to convey, or the statement was meant to convey support of the NASAA directive while opening the door for broader SEC intervention into the space, only time will tell.

One final note: FINRA, the non-profit organization authorized by Congress to be regulator in charge in the U.S. for oversight and enforcement actions against broker/dealers on behalf of investor protection, was noticeably silent in joining the SEC and NASAA in issuing a new statement (the previous two warned investors not to fall for cryptocurrency-related stock scams and gave a primer on ICOs).

FINRA Media Relations Specialist, Dylan Menguy, responded to inquiry on FINRA’s view of the statements by the SEC and NASAA by referring bitcoin Magazine to this press release where FINRA warned investors of cryptocurrency-related stock scams.

NASAA’s Bob Webster clarified the survey inclusion as referenced above in the article, and, when asked about the potential disparity discussed above, stated, “…I don’t see a discrepancy between the two views.  Cryptocurrencies are a medium of exchange and they are being promoted as investment opportunities. For clarification on the SEC’s position, you should contact the SEC.”

At the time of this writing, the SEC has not responded to a request for comment.


The post SEC/NASAA Ring in 2018 by Hinting at Need for (More) Cryptocurrency Regulation appeared first on Bitcoin Magazine.

Blockchain and ip: blockchain technology explained | siân jones, edcab

Blockchain and IP: Blockchain technology explained | Siân Jones, EDCAB

Blockchain and IP: Blockchain technology explained | Siân Jones, EDCAB The EUIPO brought together around 80 people to interact and discuss the implication of Blockchain technology on the world of intellectual property. https://euipo.europa.eu/knowledge/course/view.php?id=3038 The conference […]