January 29, 2026

Capitalizations Index – B ∞/21M

Bitcoin December Rally Fractal Still in Play

Bitcoin december rally fractal still in play

Bitcoin December Rally Fractal Still in Play

We are still moving according to that Dec fractal , when we had a similar drop (in size). Since it is moving sideways again, i am going to zoom in with my analysis until we see a break of the 3700/3850 range. It is still most likely to see another drop before we move up again, but a good strong break of 3850 could change that. Normally the chances to move up again, before making a lower low first, is like 20%. However, the longer this takes, the bigger those chances become. Because it is almost starting to look like it doesn’t want to drop. Increasing the chances for a double bottom .

So even if we see a drop to 3700ish, but see a big bounce from that level, the double bottom could be real. But be aware, in Dec it also looked like a good double bottom , but it was unable to break that red resistance.

Short term, we have a resistance at 3810/3820, if that breaks, we could see something happen. On the low side we have a support around 3770/60.
So the bigger range is 3700/3850, the range inside of that is 3820/3770.

For the bigger picture view, please read my previous analysis.

Previous analysis:

Published at Wed, 27 Feb 2019 02:41:10 +0000

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